Match Info

Belgian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	18:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4


	Sint-Truidense		Lommel

	1	X	2
	1.48	4	5.5
	1.47	4.33	5.25
	1.52	4.4	5.5	Watch
	1.52	4.42	5.61
	1.49	4.31	5.3
	1.48	4.3	5.5
	1.46	4.5	5.81	Watch
	1.46	4.4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.4)	4.33 ↓ (4.47)	5.48 ↓ (5.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sint-Truidense
62%

Draw
21.2%

Lommel
16.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.6%

20.3%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

20.3%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Lommel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Sint Truidense - Lommel Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Lommel will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Lendfers M. (G) 3. Hata T. 18. Ishiwatari N. 38. Matsuzawa K. 11. Mbuku N. 26. Musliu V. (C) 99. Shinkawa S. 8. Sissako A. 19. Soelle F. 4. Takai K. 60. Vanwesemael R.	23. Pieklak M. (G) 4. Adewoye S. 3. Eyoma T. 9. Konadu D. 41. Nypan S. 6. Pelupessy J. 10. Reyners T. 8. Rommens N. 15. Schoofs L. (C) 7. Talvitie J. 2. van Duiven J.
Substitutes
71. Araki R. 9. Bazdar S. 77. Diouf O. 22. Janssens W. 16. Kokubo L. (G) 27. Mbambi J. 14. Merlen R. 23. Pupe J. 10. Sebaoui I.	46. Corthouts N. 44. Dada-Mascoll I. 47. Gooijer T. 22. Gordic D. 1. Ivezic N. (G) 12. Odede E. 73. Reumers A. 14. Tolinsson J. 33. Vercauteren R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, van Duiven J. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Matsuzawa K. ⚽,
23', Reyners T. 🟨,
39', 2 - 1, Shinkawa S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Nypan S. ↓, Odede E. ↑,
48', Schoofs L. 🟨,
60', Pelupessy J. ↓, Dada-Mascoll I. ↑,
60', Adewoye S. ↓, Gooijer T. ↑,
62', 3 - 1, Soelle F. ⚽,
71', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 3.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Lommel could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Sint-Truidense is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Sint-Truidense has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:8 (averaging 1.6:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sint-Truidense against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 11:7 goals (averaging 2.2:1.4 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sint-Truidense VV
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Sint-Truidense - Iberia 1999	2:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.10.26	KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense	4:3 ✺
20.09.26	Sint-Truidense - Westerlo	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Beveren - Sint-Truidense	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Sint-Truidense - RAAL La Louvière	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLW
- Lommel SK
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
09.10.26	Beveren - Lommel	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Lommel - KV Mechelen	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Saint-Gilloise - Lommel	5:0 ✺
04.09.26	Lommel - Club Brugge	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Cercle Brugge - Lommel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.08.26	Sint-Truidense - Lommel	1:1
Club Friendly
17.07.19	Sint-Truidense - Lommel	1:2
14.07.18	Lommel - Sint-Truidense	0:1
16.03.17	Sint-Truidense - Lommel	6:1
Belgian Challenger Pro League
25.04.15	Sint-Truidense - Lommel	2:1
21.11.14	Lommel - Sint-Truidense	0:1
27.04.14	Sint-Truidense - Lommel	1:2

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