Match Info

Date: 8 December 2020, Tuesday


	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Mouscron

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.72	3.9	4.75
	1.72	3.85	4.75
	1.73	3.75	4.3
	1.79	3.93	4.62
	1.8	3.5	4.33
	1.74	3.9	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.82)	3.8 ↑ (3.73)	4.55 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
54.2%

Draw
24.9%

Mouscron
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25.3%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

20.1%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Mouscron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oud-Heverlee Leuven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mouscron than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.2%	9.6%	19.2%

Oud Heverlee Leuven - Mouscron Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Leuven will win (votes: 37 - 71.2%). Mouscron will win (votes: 10 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leuven: 58.9% – 83.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

No spectators.

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion to Jupiler League (Europa League Group) and 18 in the zone Relegation to Proximus League).

Leuven has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Mouscron has a chance of relegated (45%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Leuven could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leuven is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Leuven won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Leuven won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
05.12.20	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Cercle Brugge	2:1 ✺
30.11.20	Royal Antwerp - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:2 ✺
23.11.20	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Sint-Truidense	2:2 ✺
31.10.20	Beerschot Wilrijk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4:2 ✺
24.10.20	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Club Brugge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLTLW
- Royal Excel Mouscron
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
05.12.20	Beveren - Mouscron	2:0 ✺
01.12.20	Mouscron - Sint-Truidense	3:2 ✺
28.11.20	Mouscron - Club Brugge	0:0 ✺
25.11.20	Cercle Brugge - Mouscron	1:2 ✺
22.11.20	Genk - Mouscron	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.05.18	Mouscron - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5:0
21.04.18	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Mouscron	3:1
20.02.16	Mouscron - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:1
Belgian Cup
02.12.15	Mouscron - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:0
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.10.15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Mouscron	1:1
18.05.14	Mouscron - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:0
04.05.14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Mouscron	0:0

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