Match Info

Date: 15 December 2021, Wednesday


	Ourense CF		Arzúa

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.4
	1.74	3.1	3.95
	1.87	3.15	3.65
	1.78	3.23	4.15
	1.66	3.75	4.2
	1.78	3.45	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.85)	3.33 ↓ (3.4)	4.1 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
51.1%

Draw
27%

Arzúa
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

26.6%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

18.1%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Arzúa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ourense CF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arzúa than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arzúa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ourense CF - Arzúa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 10).

Recent matches Ourense CF is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arzúa is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ourense CF is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ourense CF won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ourense CF won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
12.12.21	Ourense CF - Rápido de Bouzas	0:0 ✺
08.12.21	Estradense - Ourense CF	0:1 ✺
04.12.21	Ourense CF - Silva SD	1:1 ✺
13.11.21	Somozas - Ourense CF	4:2 ✺
07.11.21	Ourense CF - Alondras	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWTLW
- CSD Arzúa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
12.12.21	Barco - Arzúa	1:3 ✺
04.12.21	Sofán - Arzúa	2:2 ✺
28.11.21	Arzúa - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:1 ✺
14.11.21	Arzúa - Choco	1:1 ✺
07.11.21	Polvorín - Arzúa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
12.06.21	Ourense CF - Arzúa	0:2

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