Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 28

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday


	Ourense CF		Bergantiños

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	4
	1.85	3.25	3.85
	1.76	3.5	4.56
	1.8	3.24	4.5
	1.8	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.85)	3.29 ↑ (3)	4.22 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
50.6%

Draw
27.8%

Bergantiños
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

30.3%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

29.1%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Bergantiños has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Ourense CF - Bergantiños Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Bergantiños could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ourense CF is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ourense CF won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ourense CF won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.03.23	Coruxo - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Ourense CF - Polvorín	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Guijuelo - Ourense CF	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Ourense CF - Zamora	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Langreo - Ourense CF	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TTLLL
- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.03.23	Bergantiños - Burgos Promesas	0:2 ✺
19.03.23	Compostela - Bergantiños	0:0 ✺
11.03.23	Bergantiños - Marino de Luanco	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Rayo Cantabria - Bergantiños	3:1 ✺
26.02.23	Bergantiños - Laredo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.11.22	Bergantiños - Ourense CF	1:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.01.20	Bergantiños - Ourense CF	0:3
25.08.19	Ourense CF - Bergantiños	3:0
13.04.19	Ourense CF - Bergantiños	1:0
17.11.18	Bergantiños - Ourense CF	1:0

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