Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 29 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Guijuelo (Guijuelo)


	Guijuelo		Ourense CF

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.9	2.8
	2.65	3	2.9
	2.6	2.95	2.8
	2.6	2.95	2.91
	2.6	2.92	2.78	Watch
	2.5	3	2.75	Watch
	2.63	3.04	2.89	Watch
	2.6	2.95	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.63)	2.96 ↓ (3.21)	2.83 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guijuelo
35.7%

Draw
31.4%

Ourense CF
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

28.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

27.7%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guijuelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guijuelo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	87.5%	12.5%

Guijuelo - Ourense CF Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ourense CF will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Oleaga H. (G) 8. Boigues J. (C) 4. Expo Jr. 14. Garban S. 19. Gutierrez I. 15. Hernandez J. 16. Lopez F. 2. Montes S. R. 6. Morales A. 5. Robles M. 7. Sillero J.	13. Guillen P. (G) 2. Andrada F. 4. Carmona F. 9. Di Renzo G. 6. Fidalgo A. 23. Fullana F. 11. Gil A. 22. Noriega J. 20. Sanchez A. 3. Sanz H. 15. Zalaya A.
Substitutes
11. Carmona P. 22. Coque A. 10. Cristobal G. 3. Ezkurdia I. 20. Garcia A. . Guzman J. (G) . Hernandez A. 21. Kike Lopez 9. Pana	7. Carbonell J. 14. del Olmo I. 10. Gil A. 1. Marqueta R. (G) 17. Prada R. 5. Prado M. 21. Raigal J. 8. Ramos J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Lopez F. 🟨,
26', Zalaya A. 🟨,
32', Hernandez J. 🟨,
35', Robles M. 🟨,
42', Fidalgo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, Di Renzo G. ⚽,
58', Hernandez J. ↓, Ezkurdia I. ↑,
58', Gutierrez I. ↓, Pana ↑,
58', Robles M. ↓, Cristobal G. ↑,
61', Fullana F. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
61', Sanchez A. ↓, Gil A. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Noriega J. ⚽,
70', 1 - 2, Lopez F. ⚽, Pana (A),
70', Sillero J. ↓, Carmona P. ↑,
72', Noriega J. ↓, del Olmo I. ↑,
81', Morales A. ↓, Kike Lopez ↑,
83', Cristobal G. 🟨,
85', Carmona F. 🟨,
87', Gil A. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
87', Andrada F. ↓, Prado M. ↑,

Preview

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Guijuelo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Guijuelo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guijuelo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.10.24	Guijuelo - Pontevedra	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Compostela - Guijuelo	1:0 ✺
12.10.24	Guijuelo - Valladolid B	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Real Ávila - Guijuelo	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Guijuelo - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLLW
- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.10.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Ourense CF - Arenteiro	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Leonesa - Ourense CF	3:0 ✺
05.10.24	Ourense CF - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:2 ✺
29.09.24	Ourense CF - Barakaldo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.04.24	Guijuelo - Ourense CF	1:1
26.11.23	Ourense CF - Guijuelo	1:0
12.03.23	Guijuelo - Ourense CF	2:0
23.10.22	Ourense CF - Guijuelo	1:0

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