Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Ourense CF		Coruxo

	1	X	2
	1.87	2.95	4
	1.9	3.1	4.33
	1.86	3.13	4.85
	1.83	3.13	4.86
	1.87	3.14	4.41
	1.91	3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.79)	3.08 ↓ (3.32)	4.43 ↓ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
49.2%

Draw
30%

Coruxo
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

27.9%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

29.8%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Coruxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ourense CF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Ourense CF - Coruxo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Miguez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
62', Pereiro D. 🟥,
65', 1 - 1, Gabri Palmas ⚽,
75', 2 - 1, Di Renzo G. ⚽,
83', 3 - 1, Gil A. ⚽,
86', 4 - 1, Gabri Palmas ⚽,
90+5', 5 - 1, Di Renzo G. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 6).

Recent matches Ourense CF is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Coruxo in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Ourense CF is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ourense CF won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Ourense CF won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.04.24	Guijuelo - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Ourense CF - Cayón	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Langreo - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Ourense CF - Valladolid B	4:1 ✺
10.03.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Ourense CF	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWTWL
- Coruxo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.04.24	Coruxo - Compostela	0:0 ✺
31.03.24	Covadonga - Coruxo	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Coruxo - Arandina	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Marino de Luanco - Coruxo	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Coruxo - Rayo Cantabria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
02.12.23	Coruxo - Ourense CF	2:1
26.03.23	Coruxo - Ourense CF	1:1
06.11.22	Ourense CF - Coruxo	0:2
Club Friendly
28.08.21	Ourense CF - Coruxo	2:2
14.08.19	Ourense CF - Coruxo	4:3

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