Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Ourense CF		Coruxo

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.20	3.50
	1.93	3.15	3.60
	1.96	3.18	3.95
	1.93	3.28	3.78	Watch
	1.94	3.10	3.90
	1.97	3.42	3.73
	1.96	3.25	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.22)	3.23 ↓ (3.39)	3.72 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
47.1%

Draw
28.3%

Coruxo
24.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

27.2%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.3%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ourense CF's performance.

Coruxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Coruxo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coruxo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ourense CF - Coruxo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Fernandez A. B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 7th and 15th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ourense CF won 2.

In recent outings, Ourense CF has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Coruxo is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this matchup, Ourense CF is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Ourense CF has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:12 (averaging 2.4:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ourense CF against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 11:8 goals (averaging 2.8:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Ourense CF	8	4	1	3	8:8	0	13
12	Coruxo FC	8	2	2	4	8:10	-2	8

Last Results with these Odds

Coruxo - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.33%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.10.26	Atlético Astorga - Ourense CF	4:0 ✺
04.10.26	Ourense CF - Arosa	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Amorebieta - Ourense CF	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Ourense CF - Eibar B	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Marino de Luanco - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTWLW
- Coruxo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.10.26	Coruxo - Compostela	0:1 ✺
04.10.26	Bergantiños - Coruxo	3:1 ✺
27.09.26	Coruxo - Gernika	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Portugalete - Coruxo	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Coruxo - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.08.25	Coruxo - Ourense CF	1:4
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.04.24	Ourense CF - Coruxo	5:1
02.12.23	Coruxo - Ourense CF	2:1
26.03.23	Coruxo - Ourense CF	1:1
06.11.22	Ourense CF - Coruxo	0:2
Club Friendly
28.08.21	Ourense CF - Coruxo	2:2
14.08.19	Ourense CF - Coruxo	4:3

Upcoming Matches