Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 26

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Ourense CF		Polvorín

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.4
	1.55	3.5	5.75
	1.85	3.43	4.12
	1.79	3.34	4.4
	1.78	3.35	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.59)	3.38 ↑ (3.24)	4.57 ↓ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
52.9%

Draw
27.1%

Polvorín
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

28%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

26.8%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Polvorín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polvorín's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ourense CF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polvorín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ourense CF - Polvorín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ourense CF won 2.

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Ourense CF is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ourense CF won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ourense CF won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.03.23	Guijuelo - Ourense CF	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Ourense CF - Zamora	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Langreo - Ourense CF	3:1 ✺
19.02.23	Ourense CF - Real Oviedo B	1:2 ✺
12.02.23	Ourense CF - Burgos Promesas	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW
- Polvorín FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.03.23	Polvorín - Burgos Promesas	0:1 ✺
05.03.23	Compostela - Polvorín	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Polvorín - Marino de Luanco	1:2 ✺
19.02.23	Rayo Cantabria - Polvorín	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Polvorín - Laredo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.10.22	Polvorín - Ourense CF	1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.03.22	Polvorín - Ourense CF	1:0
25.09.21	Ourense CF - Polvorín	0:0
08.02.20	Ourense CF - Polvorín	2:1
18.04.19	Polvorín - Ourense CF	0:1

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