Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: RAW Charging Stadium (Oxford)


	Oxford City		Gosport Borough

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	4.2
	1.55	4.1	4.4
	1.6	4	4.75
	1.57	3.99	4.71
	1.58	4.2	4.73	Watch
	1.6	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.79)	4.08 ↓ (4.2)	4.59 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
57.8%

Draw
22.3%

Gosport Borough
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

22.4%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

23.2%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oxford City's performance.

Gosport Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Oxford City - Gosport Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Potter A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
51', 1 - 1, Yearwood A. ⚽,
60', 1 - 2, Wooden D. ⚽,
72', 2 - 2, Carbon J. ⚽,
80', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Oxford City have a series of home games.

In this match Oxford City is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League North
24.09.24	Leamington - Oxford City	4:1 ✺
21.09.24	Oxford City - Needham Market	3:0 ✺
17.09.24	Oxford City - Peterborough Sports	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Oxford City - Willand Rovers	6:0 ✺
English National League North
31.08.24	Oxford City - Chorley	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWT
- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
24.09.24	Wimborne Town - Gosport Borough	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Merthyr Town - Gosport Borough	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
17.09.24	Gloucester City - Gosport Borough	0:2 ✺
14.09.24	Gosport Borough - Gloucester City	2:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
07.09.24	Gosport Borough - Tiverton Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
17.04.17	Gosport Borough - Oxford City	0:1
29.08.16	Oxford City - Gosport Borough	1:2
27.02.16	Gosport Borough - Oxford City	0:0
21.11.15	Oxford City - Gosport Borough	1:2

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