The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wimborne Town 52.2%
Draw 25.4%
Gosport Borough 22.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.1%
25.9%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.1%
24.8%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wimborne Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wimborne Town's performance.
Gosport Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gosport Borough might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wimborne Town than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Wimborne Town - Gosport Borough Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, MacAire M. F. B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, MacAire M. F. B. ⚽,
84', 3 - 0, Smith J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 12th and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimborne won 3.
Wimborne has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Gosport has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Wimborne may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Wimborne holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Wimborne has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:10 (averaging 1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Wimborne against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:5 goals (averaging 1.6:1 per game).
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