The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oxford City 30.4%
Draw 26.7%
Chester 42.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
25.3%
24%
50.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.1%
22.9%
53.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oxford City's performance.
Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chester might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oxford City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chester could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Oxford City - Chester Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Shrimpton F. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Davies T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 2, Taylor M. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Now, both teams are in good form.
Oxford City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Chester will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oxford City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Oxford City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Oxford City
13
8
3
2
25:8
17
27
5
Chester
13
7
2
4
17:13
4
23
Last Results with these Odds
Chester - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.72%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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