Match Info

Date: 5 August 2021, Thursday


	Pärnu Linnameeskond		Tartu Welco

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.8	3.9
	1.6	4.25	4
	1.56	4.3	4.2
	1.62	4.88	4.31
	1.55	4.2	4.2
	1.63	4.3	4.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.47)	4.46 ↓ (5.06)	4.13 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pärnu Linnameeskond
57.5%

Draw
20.4%

Tartu Welco
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

18.3%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76%

15.2%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pärnu Linnameeskond has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pärnu Linnameeskond's form might have worsened.

Tartu Welco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Linnameeskond than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pärnu Linnameeskond, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tartu Welco than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tartu Welco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pärnu Linnameeskond - Tartu Welco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Esiliiga (Relegation Group) and 10 in the zone Esiliiga (Relegation Group)).

Recent matches Pärnu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tartu Welco is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pärnu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pärnu is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pärnu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pärnu Linnameeskond
Estonian Esiliiga
02.08.21	Tammeka U21 - Pärnu Linnameeskond	1:3 ✺
28.07.21	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:2 ✺
14.07.21	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Pärnu Linnameeskond	1:2 ✺
30.06.21	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Nõmme United	0:1 ✺
27.06.21	Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu Linnameeskond	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWLL
- Tartu JK Welco
Estonian Esiliiga
31.07.21	Tartu Welco - Elva	3:0 ✺
28.07.21	Paide U21 - Tartu Welco	2:1 ✺
17.07.21	Tammeka U21 - Tartu Welco	6:0 ✺
14.07.21	Tartu Welco - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:4 ✺
01.07.21	Flora U21 - Tartu Welco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
22.05.21	Tartu Welco - Pärnu Linnameeskond	1:3

Pärnu Linnameeskond - Tartu Welco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide