Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 11

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Municipal de Pétange (Petange)


	Pétange		Jeunesse Canach

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.15	2.88
	2.26	3.33	2.85	Watch
	2.28	3.2	2.89
	2.28	3.2	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.26)	3.22 ↓ (3.33)	2.87 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pétange
40.1%

Draw
28.2%

Jeunesse Canach
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

27.5%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

27.9%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pétange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Jeunesse Canach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pétange than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeunesse Canach than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Pétange - Jeunesse Canach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barrela L. (C) 27. Ali D. 21. Arab S. 81. Ferreira G. 36. Kamavuaka W. 23. Martins N. 4. Noode S. 6. Sabotic D. 88. Sissoko B. 3. Vechviroon N. 5. Zodehougan Y.	1. Roulez V. (C) 12. Amofa B. 22. Costa T. 8. Jimmy 15. Laborie P. 19. Mendes C. 84. Nelsinho 11. Nico 17. Parreira 9. Perkovic B. 27. Sako T.
Substitutes
30. Damergy E. (G) 17. Goncalves R. 77. Lognard N. 11. Nguessan K. 24. Pereira Mendes P. 44. Rodrigues R. 7. Schaus Y.	24. Badjana A. 10. Desevic A. 7. Jun C. W. 98. Kuete Nsidjine D. 90. Martins R. (G) 96. Reihle D. 16. Rouffignac B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Martins N. 🟨,
22', Vechviroon N. 🟨,
32', Ali D. 🟨,
38', Nelsinho 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Laborie P. 🟨,
52', Zodehougan Y. 🟨,
58', Amofa B. ↓, Desevic A. ↑,
58', Parreira ↓, Rouffignac B. ↑,
60', Rouffignac B. 🟨,
62', Ferreira G. ↓, Goncalves R. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Arab S. ⚽, Martins N. (A),
69', Perkovic B. ↓, Kuete Nsidjine D. ↑,
72', Kuete Nsidjine D. 🟨,
77', Mendes C. ↓, Reihle D. ↑,
81', Arab S. ↓, Schaus Y. ↑,
87', Martins N. ↓, Nguessan K. ↑,
90+4', Desevic A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation) and 8).

Recent form of Pétange has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jeunesse Canach is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Jeunesse Canach may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pétange won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Pétange won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Titus Pétange
Luxembourg National Division
05.10.25	Pétange - Racing Luxembourg	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Pétange - Atert Bissen	2:3 ✺
28.09.25	Mamer - Pétange	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Käerjéng 97 - Pétange	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	Pétange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLTLL
- Jeunesse Canach
Luxembourg National Division
19.10.25	Jeunesse Canach - Victoria Rosport	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Swift Hesperange - Jeunesse Canach	1:0 ✺
01.10.25	F91 Dudelange - Jeunesse Canach	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Jeunesse Canach - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Jeunesse Canach - Jeunesse Esch	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
12.02.17	Jeunesse Canach - Pétange	0:4
15.08.16	Pétange - Jeunesse Canach	0:0
27.04.13	Jeunesse Canach - Pétange	1:2

Pétange - Jeunesse Canach: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide