Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 30 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Arena Nationala (Bucharest)

Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Servus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3, VOOsport World 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
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Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
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Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
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Hungary	RTL+
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Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, Sport 24 Extra
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, JioTV app, VIX App


	FCSB		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.75	1.67
	5.25	3.8	1.66
	4.95	3.95	1.7
	5.32	3.91	1.68
	5.27	3.92	1.65	Watch
	5	3.9	1.65
	5.48	4.04	1.71
	4.95	4	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.18 ↓ (5.45)	3.91 ↓ (4.13)	1.68 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FCSB
18.5%

Draw
24.5%

Manchester United
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

23%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

22.5%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FCSB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FCSB than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.9%	15.1%	63%

FCSB - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. FCSB will win (votes: 16 - 21.9%). Man Utd will win (votes: 46 - 63%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 15.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 51.9% – 74.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Tarnovanu S. (G) 17. Popescu M. 30. Ngezana S. 5. Dawa J. 2. Cretu V. 18. Edjouma M. 8. Sut A. (C) 33. Radunovic R. 7. Tanase F. 9. Birligea D. 11. Miculescu D.	1. Bayindir A. (G) 3. Mazraoui N. 4. de Ligt M. 6. Martinez Li. 20. Dalot D. 43. Collyer T. 37. Mainoo K. 12. Malacia T. 14. Eriksen C. 9. Hojlund R. 8. Fernandes B. (C)
Substitutes
42. Alhassan B. 25. Baluta A. 21. Chiriches V. 29. Musi A. 28. Pantea A. 19. Popa D. 15. Stefanescu M. 22. Toma M. 1. Udrea M. (G)	18. Casemiro 16. Diallo A. 17. Garnacho A. 22. Heaton T. (G) 2. Lindelof V. 5. Maguire H. 24. Onana A. (G) 25. Ugarte M. 15. Yoro L. 11. Zirkzee J.
Coaches
Charalambous E.	Amorim R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Malacia T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Malacia T. ↓, Garnacho A. ↑,
46', Collyer T. ↓, Diallo A. ↑,
46', Edjouma M. ↓, Alhassan B. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Dalot D. ⚽, Mainoo K. (A),
66', Cretu V. ↓, Baluta A. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Mainoo K. ⚽, Garnacho A. (A),
71', Martinez Li. ↓, Yoro L. ↑,
71', Eriksen C. ↓, Casemiro ↑,
73', Baluta A. 🟨,
77', Miculescu D. ↓, Musi A. ↑,
77', Tanase F. ↓, Stefanescu M. ↑,
80', Hojlund R. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
88', Dawa J. 🟨,
90+1', Alhassan B. 🟨,

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

FCSB could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Man Utd is a favorite.

There will not play in FCSB: Baeten W. (Injury) Chiriches V. (Injury) Lixandru M. (Injury) Olaru D. (Injury) Popescu O. (Injury)

There will not play in Man Utd: Evans J. (Muscle Injury) Mount M. (Leg Injury) Rashford M. (Coach's decision) Shaw L. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Ugarte M. (Knock)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCSB
Romanian SuperLiga
26.01.25	UTA Arad - FCSB	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.01.25	Qarabağ Agdam - FCSB	2:3 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
17.01.25	FCSB - Hermannstadt	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.01.25	Dynamo Kyiv - FCSB	2:1 ✺
10.01.25	FCSB - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTLW
- Manchester United
English Premier League
26.01.25	Fulham - Manchester United	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.01.25	Manchester United - Glasgow Rangers	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
19.01.25	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:3 ✺
16.01.25	Manchester United - Southampton	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
12.01.25	Arsenal - Manchester United	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWLWW

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