Match Info

Super League - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Mandala Krida Stadium (Yogyakarta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	PSIM Yogyakarta		Semen Padang

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.75	4.75
	1.46	3.95	5.7	Watch
	1.5	4.3	5.82	Watch
	1.5	3.9	5.5
	1.46	3.88	6.3	Watch
	1.46	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.72)	3.96 ↑ (3.54)	5.68 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSIM Yogyakarta
61%

Draw
23%

Semen Padang
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

25.7%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

24.9%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSIM Yogyakarta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PSIM Yogyakarta's performance.

Semen Padang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Semen Padang might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSIM Yogyakarta than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PSIM Yogyakarta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Semen Padang than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

PSIM Yogyakarta - Semen Padang Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. PSIM Yogyakarta will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Semen Padang will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. PSIM Yogyakarta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - PSIM Yogyakarta (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - PSIM Yogyakarta (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. PSIM Yogyakarta (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Supriadi C. (G) 29. Hardiawan R. 4. Ramos Mingo F. 14. Teddy R. 35. Adi R. (C) 63. Rakhmatzoda R. 88. Sudin F. 11. Vidal E. 10. Ze Valente 7. Corfe D. 99. Haljeta N.	1. Augusto A. (G) 8. Ariansyah R. 24. Meneses A. (C) 20. Saputra H. 3. Guntara L. 31. Setiawan R. 16. Matos P. 63. Wahyudi R. 88. Maulana I. 9. Stewart C. 15. Juliansyah F.
Substitutes
27. Abiyoso R. 77. Botan K. 23. Fatkur G. 47. Fikri K. (G) 6. Iqbal M. 17. Irfan A. 65. Sapari D. 5. Setyo A. 8. Sheva S.	25. Afandi Z. 89. Bachtiar A. (G) 86. Oropa A. 99. Putra F. (G) 19. Ridwan M. 14. Saputra D. 12. Simanjuntak S. 41. Triyanto F. 6. Umanailo A.
Coaches
van Gastel J.	Antonic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Adi R. 🟨,
16', Saputra H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Juliansyah F. ↓, Simanjuntak S. ↑,
58', Sudin F. ↓, Sheva S. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Ze Valente (Penalty Awarded),
68', Adi R. ↓, Sapari D. ↑,
71', Maulana I. ↓, Oropa A. ↑,
71', Matos P. ↓, Ridwan M. ↑,
84', Ariansyah R. ↓, Umanailo A. ↑,
84', Setiawan R. ↓, Afandi Z. ↑,
90+1', Wahyudi R. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, PSIM Yogyakarta is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, PSIM Yogyakarta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, PSIM Yogyakarta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	PSIM Yogyakarta	3	0	1	2	2:4	-2	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSIM Yogyakarta
Indonesian Super League
29.12.25	PSIM Yogyakarta - PSBS Biak Numfor	2:2 ✺
23.12.25	Persijap Jepara - PSIM Yogyakarta	1:1 ✺
28.11.25	Persija Jakarta - PSIM Yogyakarta	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	PSIM Yogyakarta - Bhayangkara	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Persis Solo - PSIM Yogyakarta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTLWT
- Semen Padang
Indonesian Super League
28.12.25	Madura United - Semen Padang	5:1 ✺
22.12.25	Semen Padang - Persija Jakarta	1:0 ✺
27.11.25	Persik Kediri - Semen Padang	2:1 ✺
20.11.25	Persijap Jepara - Semen Padang	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Semen Padang - Borneo Samarinda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Championship
27.01.24	PSIM Yogyakarta - Semen Padang	0:0
06.01.24	Semen Padang - PSIM Yogyakarta	1:1

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