Match Info

Super League - Round 15

Date: 22 December 2025, Monday

Location: Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim (Padang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Semen Padang		Persija Jakarta

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.1	1.52
	7.1	4.65	1.33	Watch
	5.7	4.25	1.52
	6.78	4.65	1.41	Watch
	7	4.5	1.36
	8.25	4.5	1.32	Watch
	7	4.75	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.65 ↑ (5.33)	4.49 ↑ (4)	1.4 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Semen Padang
13.8%

Draw
20.5%

Persija Jakarta
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

23.2%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

22.7%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Semen Padang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Persija Jakarta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Persija Jakarta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Semen Padang than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persija Jakarta than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Persija Jakarta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Semen Padang - Persija Jakarta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Persija Jakarta (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Persija Jakarta will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Persija Jakarta will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Persija Jakarta (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Augusto A. (G) 23. Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. 8. Ariansyah R. 24. Meneses A. (C) 12. Simanjuntak S. 63. Wahyudi R. 30. Wakaso A. 88. Maulana I. 16. Matos P. 15. Juliansyah F. 19. Ridwan M.	1. Carlos Eduardo (G) 88. Bruno Tubarao 5. Ridho R. (C) 21. Amat J. 77. Pamungkas D. 28. Dennis F. 97. Fabio Silva 99. Maxwell 8. Witan 17. Allano 98. Eksel R.
Substitutes
25. Afandi Z. 89. Bachtiar A. (G) 86. Oropa A. 99. Putra F. (G) 14. Saputra D. 20. Saputra H. 31. Setiawan R. 9. Stewart C. 41. Triyanto F. 6. Umanailo A.	11. Abdulmanan A. 16. Alan Cardoso 26. Ardhiyasa A. (G) 2. Fahmi R. 10. Gustavo Franca 58. Hannan M. 7. Matsumura R. 56. Nico A. 18. Pahlevi J. 6. Thales 36. Warman A. 23. Yama H.
Coaches
Antonic D.	Mauricio Souza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Simanjuntak S. 🟨,
18', Dennis F. 🟨,
23', Juliansyah F. 🟨,
37', Dennis F. 🟨,
45+5', Allano 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Juliansyah F. ↓, Stewart C. ↑,
59', Wakaso A. 🟨,
70', Ridwan M. ↓, Oropa A. ↑,
74', Witan ↓, Abdulmanan A. ↑,
83', 1 - 0, Amat J. (Own goal),
90+1', Bruno Tubarao ↓, Matsumura R. ↑,
90+1', Pamungkas D. ↓, Alan Cardoso ↑,
90+1', Ridho R. ↓, Thales ↑,
90+7', Fabio Silva 🟥,
90+7', Maulana I. ↓, Afandi Z. ↑,
90+7', Maulana I. 🟨,
90+8', Oropa A. ↓, Umanailo A. ↑,
90+15', Maxwell 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Semen Padang won 2.

Semen Padang has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Persija Jakarta is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Persija Jakarta is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Semen Padang won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Semen Padang won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Semen Padang
Indonesian Super League
27.11.25	Persik Kediri - Semen Padang	2:1 ✺
20.11.25	Persijap Jepara - Semen Padang	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Semen Padang - Borneo Samarinda	0:2 ✺
03.11.25	Semen Padang - Arema	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Java United - Semen Padang	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLL
- Persija Jakarta
Indonesian Super League
28.11.25	Persija Jakarta - PSIM Yogyakarta	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Persija Jakarta - Persik Kediri	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Arema - Persija Jakarta	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Persija Jakarta - PSBS Biak Numfor	3:1 ✺
24.10.25	Madura United - Persija Jakarta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
27.04.25	Persija Jakarta - Semen Padang	0:2
06.12.24	Semen Padang - Persija Jakarta	0:1
07.11.19	Semen Padang - Persija Jakarta	2:2
16.10.19	Persija Jakarta - Semen Padang	1:2
22.10.17	Persija Jakarta - Semen Padang	2:0
12.07.17	Semen Padang - Persija Jakarta	1:1
Indonesian ISC
03.09.16	Semen Padang - Persija Jakarta	0:0

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