Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 1 - Round 26

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Jatidiri Stadium (Semarang)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, Vidio


	PSIS Semarang		Madura United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.35
	2.24	3.25	2.9	Watch
	2.71	3.55	2.58
	2.36	3.26	2.99	Watch
	2.29	3.15	2.9	Watch
	2.24	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.67)	3.28 ↑ (3.23)	2.77 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

PSIS Semarang
38.4%

Draw
28.2%

Madura United
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

28.2%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

27.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSIS Semarang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Madura United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSIS Semarang than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

PSIS Semarang - Madura United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Trisna S. (G) 5. Ferrari J. 31. Syawal R. 45. Buddin S. 14. Ardiansyah R. 16. Apriliansyah R. 21. Diarra B. 3. Alhafiz H. 7. Freitas Gali 29. David M. (C) 99. Gustavo Souza	30. Saputra M. (G) 45. Hidayat T. 3. Monteiro P. 35. Abdillah H. 33. Araya K. 5. Palic K. 4. Wehrmann J. 10. Iran Junior 95. Skrbic M. 11. Lulinha (C) 91. Ahmad A.
Substitutes
52. Darmawan R. (G) 19. Dewangga A. 25. Ferizal S. 6. Lucas 57. Madilesa F. 96. Maulana M. 24. Ramdhani W. 69. Rumbino D. 30. Satryo A. (G) 68. Setiawan T. 11. Sudi A. 56. Syuhada R.	25. Afrisal R. 99. Ezzejjari Y. 26. Harlan A. (G) 17. Irfan A. 18. Kemaluddin M. 24. Muslihuddin T. 44. Nurdiansyah 42. Ramzy F. 77. Samosir S. 22. Sanjaya I. 36. Syah I. 28. Vedhayanto K.
Coaches
Agius G.	Vera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Apriliansyah R. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Monteiro P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Buddin S. ↓, Lucas ↑,
46', Apriliansyah R. ↓, Dewangga A. ↑,
46', Ahmad A. ↓, Irfan A. ↑,
46', Skrbic M. ↓, Ezzejjari Y. ↑,
52', Irfan A. 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Gustavo Souza ⚽, Freitas Gali (A),
60', Hidayat T. ↓, Sanjaya I. ↑,
65', Palic K. 🟥,
67', Lulinha 🟨,
71', Syawal R. ↓, Sudi A. ↑,
71', Abdillah H. ↓, Nurdiansyah ↑,
83', Gustavo Souza ↓, Ramdhani W. ↑,
87', Alhafiz H. ↓, Syuhada R. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Irfan A. ⚽,
90+4', Iran Junior ↓, Syah I. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Semarang won 1.

Semarang is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Madura United is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Semarang could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Semarang won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10:17 (average 0.9:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Semarang won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSIS Semarang
Indonesian Super League
12.03.25	Persebaya Surabaya - PSIS Semarang	1:1 ✺
05.03.25	Persija Jakarta - PSIS Semarang	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Arema - PSIS Semarang	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	PSIS Semarang - PSM Makassar	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	PSIS Semarang - Persib Bandung	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLTTL
- Madura United
AFC Challenge League
13.03.25	Madura United - Tainan City	3:0 ✺
06.03.25	Tainan City - Madura United	0:0 ✺
Indonesian Super League
02.03.25	Madura United - PSM Makassar	1:3 ✺
22.02.25	Persib Bandung - Madura United	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Madura United - Dewa United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
23.10.24	Madura United - PSIS Semarang	2:0
16.12.23	PSIS Semarang - Madura United	2:2
05.08.23	Madura United - PSIS Semarang	1:0
07.03.23	PSIS Semarang - Madura United	0:2
05.12.22	Madura United - PSIS Semarang	0:3
28.01.22	Madura United - PSIS Semarang	2:1
29.09.21	PSIS Semarang - Madura United	0:0

Upcoming Matches