Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 1 - Round 14

Date: 13 December 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion Batakan (Balikpapan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	PSM Makassar		PSS Sleman

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	3.9	5.25
	1.48	3.95	5.8	Watch
	1.5	4	7.69
	1.53	3.68	7.25	Watch
	1.5	3.75	6
	1.45	3.94	6.33	Watch
	1.48	3.95	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.6)	3.88 ↑ (3.39)	6.3 ↑ (5.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSM Makassar
61.7%

Draw
23.7%

PSS Sleman
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

27.1%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

26.4%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSM Makassar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

PSS Sleman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSM Makassar than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSS Sleman than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

PSM Makassar - PSS Sleman Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Makassar will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Sleman will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Makassar: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ardiansyah M. (G) 2. Aloisio Neto 4. Fernandes Y. (C) 13. Lasinari S. 22. Victor Luiz 45. Tanjung A. 19. Fall L. 10. Sakai D. 24. Pratama R. 99. Haljeta N. 15. Pratama R.	12. Alan (G) 4. Cleberson 19. Aryanto F. (C) 78. Nanda I. 6. Gomes K. 8. Betinho 10. Cawor R. 24. Cardoso N. 76. Dion D. 99. Danilo Alves 11. Tocantins
Substitutes
29. Aditia F. 11. Asraf Huwaidi Syam M. D. 77. Bahij S. (G) 17. Bakri R. 28. Darmawan A. 71. Hidayat M. 30. Pratama R. (G) 8. Raehan A. 81. Rahaman A. 68. Salman D. 9. Silva A. 27. Sukarno D.	26. Arda F. 96. Lestaluhu A. 7. Moon Chang-Jin 17. Ofosu-Ayeh P. 25. Oktavana G. 36. Rivan Satria Hutama R. 32. Rizky E. (G) 14. Wamu D.
Coaches
Amiruddin A.	de Freitas U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Aloisio Neto ⚽, Fernandes Y. (A),
45+1', Gomes K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fall L. ↓, Salman D. ↑,
46', Nanda I. ↓, Lestaluhu A. ↑,
46', Cardoso N. ↓, Ofosu-Ayeh P. ↑,
60', Pratama R. ↓, Hidayat M. ↑,
60', Pratama R. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
68', Alan ↓, Rizky E. ↑,
68', Dion D. ↓, Moon Chang-Jin ↑,
82', Lasinari S. 🟨,
85', Lasinari S. ↓, Raehan A. ↑,
89', Haljeta N. ↓, Rahaman A. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Tocantins ⚽, Cleberson (A),

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Makassar won 3.

Recent matches Makassar is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sleman is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Makassar is certain favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Makassar won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:12 (average 1.7:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Makassar won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:7 (average 2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSM Makassar
Indonesian Super League
07.12.24	Bali United Pusam - PSM Makassar	1:1 ✺
02.12.24	PSM Makassar - Borneo Samarinda	1:0 ✺
21.11.24	Semen Padang - PSM Makassar	1:1 ✺
04.11.24	PSM Makassar - Persik Kediri	1:1 ✺
23.10.24	Persebaya Surabaya - PSM Makassar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWTTT
- PSS Sleman
Indonesian Super League
09.12.24	PSS Sleman - Persib Bandung	1:2 ✺
03.12.24	Dewa United - PSS Sleman	2:1 ✺
22.11.24	PSS Sleman - PSBS Biak Numfor	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Persis Solo - PSS Sleman	0:2 ✺
27.10.24	PSS Sleman - Persita Tangerang	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
08.03.24	PSM Makassar - PSS Sleman	2:1
03.09.23	PSS Sleman - PSM Makassar	1:1
14.01.23	PSM Makassar - PSS Sleman	4:0
23.07.22	PSS Sleman - PSM Makassar	1:2
01.03.22	PSS Sleman - PSM Makassar	0:0
18.11.21	PSM Makassar - PSS Sleman	2:2
Indonesian Menpora Cup
24.04.21	PSM Makassar - PSS Sleman	1:2

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