Match Info

Super League - Round 30

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday

Location: Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium (Gianyar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Bali United Pusam		PSM Makassar

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.3	3.2
	1.95	3.35	3.3
	1.98	3.66	3.68
	1.96	3.65	3.51	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.4
	1.88	3.54	3.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (1.99)	3.45 ↓ (3.57)	3.43 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bali United Pusam
46.9%

Draw
26.5%

PSM Makassar
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

26%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.9%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bali United Pusam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

PSM Makassar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bali United Pusam than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSM Makassar than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Bali United Pusam - PSM Makassar Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bali United will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hauptmeijer M. (G) 7. Goppel T. 4. Arel K. 5. Adi B. 24. Fajrin R. (C) 14. Receveur T. 18. Kadek Agung 17. Yachida T. 99. Campos D. 9. Kopitovic B. 47. Arjuna R.	97. Hilmansyah (G) 2. Aloisio Neto 94. Lagator D. 22. Victor Luiz 4. Fernandes Y. (C) 7. Dethan V. 6. Fandi R. 48. Arfan M. 10. Sakai D. 24. Pratama R. 9. Alex Tanque
Substitutes
33. Andhika M. 41. Jaya I. 55. Made T. 77. Meilana Y. 44. Panji P. 91. Rahmat 19. Raven J. 95. Rustapa F. (G) 42. Simon M. 31. Yusron D. (G)	29. Aditia F. 27. Asraf Huwaidi Syam M. D. 17. Bakri R. 99. Cumic L. 13. Lasinari S. 18. Pagamo G. 88. Raehan A. 81. Rahaman A. 8. Savio Roberto 32. Septiawan R. D. 51. Syamsuddin S. (G) 45. Tanjung A.
Coaches
Jansen J.	Amiruddin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Fernandes Y. 🟥,
17', 1 - 0, Campos D. ⚽, Arjuna R. (A),
20', Dethan V. ↓, Raehan A. ↑,
42', Adi B. 🟨,
44', Campos D. ↓, Jaya I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alex Tanque ↓, Cumic L. ↑,
46', Arfan M. ↓, Rahaman A. ↑,
70', Fandi R. ↓, Septiawan R. D. ↑,
71', Fajrin R. 🟨,
72', Kopitovic B. ↓, Raven J. ↑,
77', Pratama R. ↓, Savio Roberto ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Jaya I. ⚽, Yachida T. (A),
79', Kadek Agung ↓, Made T. ↑,
79', Arjuna R. ↓, Simon M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bali United won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Bali United will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Bali United won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bali United won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Bali United	4	3	0	1	12:4	8	9
12	PSM Makassar	3	0	2	1	6:8	-2	2

Last Results with these Odds

Bali United Pusam - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.63%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bali United Pusam FC
Indonesian Super League
23.04.26	Persita Tangerang - Bali United Pusam	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Bali United Pusam - Java United	4:1 ✺
12.04.26	Persib Bandung - Bali United Pusam	3:2 ✺
06.04.26	Bali United Pusam - PSBS Biak Numfor	6:1 ✺
12.03.26	Persis Solo - Bali United Pusam	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWL
- PSM Makassar
Indonesian Super League
23.04.26	PSM Makassar - Persik Kediri	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	PSM Makassar - Borneo Samarinda	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	PSIM Yogyakarta - PSM Makassar	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	PSM Makassar - Persis Solo	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Java United - PSM Makassar	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
09.01.26	PSM Makassar - Bali United Pusam	0:2
25.04.25	PSM Makassar - Bali United Pusam	0:1
07.12.24	Bali United Pusam - PSM Makassar	1:1
24.02.24	PSM Makassar - Bali United Pusam	0:0
11.08.23	Bali United Pusam - PSM Makassar	3:2
10.06.23	PSM Makassar - Bali United Pusam	1:2 penalties
06.06.23	Bali United Pusam - PSM Makassar	1:1

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