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Current Win Probability
PSM Makassar 27%
Draw 26%
Borneo Samarinda 47%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
25.8%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.9%
25.1%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
PSM Makassar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PSM Makassar's form might have worsened.
Borneo Samarinda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Borneo Samarinda's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSM Makassar than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PSM Makassar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borneo Samarinda than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borneo Samarinda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
PSM Makassar - Borneo Samarinda Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
97. Hilmansyah (G) 94. Lagator D. 13. Lasinari S. 22. Victor Luiz 4. Fernandes Y. (C) 88. Raehan A. 48. Arfan M. 40. Gledson 9. Alex Tanque 98. Medina Themopole J. 21. Boboev S.
1. Argawinata N. (C) 22. Nduwarugira C. 16. Teguh K. 54. Buffon A. 23. Caxambu 20. Villa J. 8. Hirose K. 14. Anez M. 50. Enero 9. Obieta K. 10. Peralta M.
Substitutes
29. Aditia F. 30. Arya R. (G) 27. Asraf Huwaidi Syam M. D. 17. Bakri R. 99. Cumic L. 6. Fandi R. 15. Pratama R. 24. Pratama R. 81. Rahaman A. 68. Salman D. 8. Savio Roberto 45. Tanjung A.
52. Ahmad Agung 7. Astina M. 19. Camara O. 11. Fachgi R. 63. Fasya D. (G) 66. Hardiansyah D. 3. Idrus A. 96. Kaio Nunes 88. Kuswardani D. 99. Sihran M. 30. Trisna S. (G) 6. Zikrak I.
Coaches
Trucha T.
Lefundes F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Teguh K. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Arfan M. ⚽, Medina Themopole J. (A),
27', Lagator D. 🟨,
28', Lagator D. ↓, Tanjung A. ↑,
32', 1 - 1, Villa J. ⚽,
33', Villa J. 🟨,
45', Lasinari S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Medina Themopole J. ↓, Pratama R. ↑,
60', Anez M. ↓, Kaio Nunes ↑,
60', Arfan M. ↓, Savio Roberto ↑,
61', Boboev S. ↓, Cumic L. ↑,
75', Alex Tanque ↓, Asraf Huwaidi Syam M. D. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Obieta K. ⚽, Peralta M. (A),
82', Peralta M. ↓, Astina M. ↑,
85', Lasinari S. 🟨,
90+3', Astina M. 🟨,
90+8', Obieta K. ↓, Ahmad Agung ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Makassar won 1.
In recent matches, Makassar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Borneo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Borneo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Makassar won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Makassar won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).
Indonesia
Watch
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Hilmansyah (G) 
Lagator D. 
Victor Luiz 
Fernandes Y. (C) 
Medina Themopole J. 
Boboev S. 
Nduwarugira C. 
Villa J. 
Hirose K. 
Anez M. 
Obieta K. 
Peralta M. 
Cumic L. 
Trucha T. 
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