The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paços de Ferreira 50.7%
Draw 28.9%
BSAD 20.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.5%
27.1%
19.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.6%
22.1%
15.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
BSAD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paços de Ferreira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
74.4%
5.1%
20.5%
Paços de Ferreira - BSAD Predictions
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 29 - 74.4%). BSAD will win (votes: 8 - 20.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Paços de Ferreira: 60.7% – 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
Paços de Ferreira has the most likely position - 11 (8.19%), has project points - 41, has currently - 8, has a small chance of relegated (12%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Belenenses has the most likely position - 18 (19.15%), has project points - 33, has currently - 3, has a chance of relegated (38%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Paços de Ferreira is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Belenenses is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Paços de Ferreira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Paços de Ferreira is a favorite.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Paços de Ferreira won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-4.
Watch
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