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Current Win Probability
Portimonense 41.5%
Draw 29.4%
Paços de Ferreira 29.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.8%
28.7%
24.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
27.5%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portimonense's form might have worsened.
Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portimonense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paços de Ferreira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
42.9%
14.3%
Portimonense - Paços de Ferreira Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Portimonense will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
77. Cibois S. (G) 31. Edney 73. Junior M. 32. Jarleysom 6. Neves S. 18. Mamede 15. Xavier 47. Cagro W. 17. Joao Reis (C) 7. Djassi D. 93. Welinton Junior
1. Rafa (G) 21. Anilson 77. Rafael 23. Ferreira T. (C) 5. Sousa A. 88. Francisco Ramos 26. Cunha N. 13. Pinto J. 11. Fale M. 90. Lumungo R. 9. Victor J.
Substitutes
2. Abel A. 90. Canario F. 21. Dauda M. 22. De Bolle L. 19. Dju M. 40. Joao Vitor 8. Lobato S. 26. Maycon Cleiton (G) 16. Thauan Lara
8. Costa D. 47. da Silva Moreira I. A. 15. Dias L. 3. Diegao 7. Diego Fernandes 14. Duarte R. 12. Jeimes (G) 19. Nito 36. Silva V.
Coaches
Fernandes T.
Braga N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Cagro W. (Penalty Awarded),
30', Pinto J. 🟨,
38', Mamede 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Xavier ⚽, Mamede (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', 2 - 1, Victor J. ⚽, Lumungo R. (A),
53', 2 - 2, Victor J. (Penalty Awarded),
55', Anilson 🟨,
60', Xavier 🟨,
66', Welinton Junior ↓, Dauda M. ↑,
66', Cagro W. ↓, Lobato S. ↑,
66', Neves S. ↓, Abel A. ↑,
70', 2 - 3, Fale M. ⚽, Cunha N. (A),
70', Fale M. 🟨,
72', Pinto J. 🟨,
75', Victor J. ↓, Costa D. ↑,
75', Cunha N. ↓, Diegao ↑,
76', Edney ↓, Canario F. ↑,
76', Mamede ↓, De Bolle L. ↑,
79', Francisco Ramos ↓, Nito ↑,
80', Fale M. ↓, Dias L. ↑,
88', Lumungo R. ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
90+2', Junior M. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 4.
Portimonense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Paços de Ferreira has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Paços de Ferreira has had a series of home games.
Portimonense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.3:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Portimonense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).
Watch
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Cibois S. (G) 
Edney 
Junior M. 
Neves S. 
Cagro W. 
Djassi D. 
Lumungo R. 
Dauda M. 
De Bolle L. 
Costa D. 
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