Match Info

Date: 20 December 2020, Sunday


	Paços de Ferreira		Boavista

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.3
	2.15	3.35	3.25
	2.19	3.1	3.45
	2.24	3.36	3.52
	2.2	3.2	3.4
	2.19	3.4	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.28)	3.29 ↓ (3.33)	3.37 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paços de Ferreira
43.2%

Draw
28.8%

Boavista
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28.4%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

21.1%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paços de Ferreira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boavista, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Paços de Ferreira - Boavista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation to Liga Portugal 2).

Paços de Ferreira has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Boavista could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

Paços de Ferreira will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Paços de Ferreira won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese League Cup
16.12.20	Porto - Paços de Ferreira	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.12.20	Sporting Lisbon - Paços de Ferreira	3:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
06.12.20	Benfica - Paços de Ferreira	2:1 ✺
01.12.20	Moreirense - Paços de Ferreira	0:1 ✺
27.11.20	Paços de Ferreira - Famalicão	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWW
- Boavista SC
Taça de Portugal
12.12.20	Estoril Praia - Boavista	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
06.12.20	Rio Ave - Boavista	0:0 ✺
29.11.20	Boavista - BSAD	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.11.20	Vizela - Boavista	0:1 ET ✺
Liga Portugal
08.11.20	Farense - Boavista	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
07.02.20	Paços de Ferreira - Boavista	0:1
24.08.19	Boavista - Paços de Ferreira	1:1
29.04.18	Boavista - Paços de Ferreira	1:0
15.12.17	Paços de Ferreira - Boavista	1:2
14.04.17	Boavista - Paços de Ferreira	0:0
05.12.16	Paços de Ferreira - Boavista	2:1
Club Friendly
24.07.16	Paços de Ferreira - Boavista	1:0

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