Match Info

Date: 8 November 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Farense		Boavista

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.25	2.87	Watch
	2.35	3.25	2.95
	2.4	3.4	2.8
	2.5	3.3	2.7
	2.63	3.45	2.8
	2.5	3.25	2.8
	2.52	3.35	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.61)	3.32 ↑ (3.15)	2.82 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farense
38.1%

Draw
28.4%

Boavista
33.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.2%

30%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

22%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Farense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boavista could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.6%	26.5%	52.9%

Farense - Boavista Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). Boavista will win (votes: 18 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 26.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boavista: 36.1% – 69.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation to Liga Portugal 2 and 15).

Farense has a chance of relegated (30%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Farense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Boavista is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Boavista could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Farense
Liga Portugal
31.10.20	BSAD - Farense	1:1 ✺
25.10.20	Farense - Rio Ave	0:1 ✺
18.10.20	Farense - Famalicão	3:3 ✺
04.10.20	Benfica - Farense	3:2 ✺
27.09.20	Farense - Nacional	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTLL
- Boavista SC
Liga Portugal
02.11.20	Boavista - Benfica	3:0 ✺
25.10.20	Famalicão - Boavista	2:2 ✺
19.10.20	Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1 ✺
02.10.20	Moreirense - Boavista	1:1 ✺
26.09.20	Boavista - Porto	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WTLTL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Farense
Portuguese Liga 2
01.11.26	Lusitânia - Farense	✺

Farense - Boavista