The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting Lisbon 81.3%
Draw 12.9%
Paços de Ferreira 5.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
80.1%
13.6%
6.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.1%
7.5%
11.3%
Sporting Lisbon - Paços de Ferreira Predictions
Users Predictions:
53 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 43 - 81.1%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 6 - 11.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 70.6% – 91.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
Sporting has the most likely position - 3 (44.3%), has project points - 67, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (58%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Paços de Ferreira has the most likely position - 18 (67.57%), has project points - 21, has currently - 2, has a good chance of relegated (90%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality49, importance46, match rating48. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting won 5.
Sporting in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Paços de Ferreira is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Sporting could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Sporting is absolute favorite.
There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D.
(Knee Injury)
Lamba C.
(Injury)
Neto
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Paços de Ferreira: Vigario J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Sporting: St. Juste J.
(Knee Injury)
Last 22 head-to-head matches Sporting won 17 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 41-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Sporting won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25-6.
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