The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paços de Ferreira 19.6%
Draw 28.4%
Marítimo 51.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.6%
28.8%
49.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.3%
28.4%
50.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
28.6%
57.1%
Paços de Ferreira - Marítimo Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Marítimo will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rafa (G) 21. Anilson 23. Ferreira T. (C) 77. Rafael 15. Dias L. 26. Cunha N. 88. Francisco Ramos 11. Fale M. 8. Costa D. 90. Lumungo R. 9. Victor J.
12. Samu (G) 2. Igor Juliao 5. Madsen N. 44. Correia R. (C) 23. Henrique P. 98. Ibrahima 14. Raphael Guzzo 10. Tejon M. 28. Carlos Daniel 21. Bouzaidi S. 3. Butzke A.
Substitutes
47. da Silva Moreira I. A. 3. Diegao 7. Diego Fernandes 4. Kauan 28. Marafona (G) 22. Mota 13. Pinto J. 36. Silva V. 5. Sousa A.
8. Cruz M. 18. Danilovic V. 24. Da Rocha Borges R. 25. Freitas A. 20. Gomes Aguiar F. T. 9. Melro J. 1. Pastor A. (G) 7. Pena Zauner E. 17. Xavi Grande
Coaches
Braga N.
Moita M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Raphael Guzzo 🟨,
12', Anilson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Carlos Daniel 🟨,
64', Tejon M. 🟨,
65', Ibrahima ↓, Danilovic V. ↑,
65', Igor Juliao ↓, Xavi Grande ↑,
74', Bouzaidi S. ↓, Pena Zauner E. ↑,
77', Victor J. ↓, Silva V. ↑,
77', Fale M. ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
81', Dias L. 🟨,
83', Rafael 🟨,
86', Costa D. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
87', Anilson ↓, Mota ↑,
89', Carlos Daniel ↓, Gomes Aguiar F. T. ↑,
89', Tejon M. ↓, Cruz M. ↑,
90+2', Rafael ↓, Kauan ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 0.
Recent performances by Paços de Ferreira have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Marítimo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Marítimo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Marítimo is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 0.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Paços de Ferreira won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.8:1).
Watch
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Rafa (G) 
Anilson 
Costa D. 
Lumungo R. 
Madsen N. 
Ibrahima 
Tejon M. 
Bouzaidi S. 
Danilovic V. 
Pena Zauner E. 
