The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leixões 41.2%
Draw 31.2%
Paços de Ferreira 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.2%
32.4%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
34.3%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
16.7%
50%
Leixões - Paços de Ferreira Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Leixões will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
51. Stefanovic I. (C) 14. Matheus Costa 44. Semeu 63. Faria H. 77. Paulinho 22. Araujo C. 66. Balde A. 15. Simaozinho 9. Bica 91. Valente R. 11. Agra S.
1. Rafa (G) 21. Anilson 2. Cardoso G. 77. Rafael 5. Sousa A. 26. Cunha N. 88. Francisco Ramos (C) 11. Fale M. 8. Costa D. 90. Lumungo R. 9. Victor J.
Substitutes
27. Barbosa R. 3. Figueiredo L. 2. Fonseca F. 33. Luccas Paraizo 20. Miguel Sousa 1. Morro M. (G) 8. Neto 10. Paulite 7. Werton
47. da Silva Moreira I. A. 15. Dias L. 3. Diegao 7. Diego Fernandes 4. Kauan 28. Marafona (G) 22. Mota 19. Nito 13. Pinto J.
Coaches
Fangueiro C.
Braga N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Costa D. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Victor J. ⚽, Francisco Ramos (A),
42', Lumungo R. 🟨,
45', 1 - 2, Agra S. ⚽, Balde A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Faria H. 🟨,
52', 2 - 2, Semeu ⚽,
58', Faria H. ↓, Figueiredo L. ↑,
61', Cardoso G. 🟨,
67', Agra S. ↓, Barbosa R. ↑,
67', Valente R. ↓, Luccas Paraizo ↑,
73', Francisco Ramos ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
74', Lumungo R. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
79', Araujo C. ↓, Werton ↑,
80', Matheus Costa ↓, Miguel Sousa ↑,
80', Victor J. ↓, da Silva Moreira I. A. ↑,
86', 3 - 2, Semeu ⚽,
88', Werton 🟨,
89', Anilson ↓, Mota ↑,
89', Cardoso G. ↓, Kauan ↑,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 14)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Paços de Ferreira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Leixões could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Leixões won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).