Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 30 July 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Pacajus		Retrô Brasil

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.7
	2.25	2.8	3.15
	2.41	2.88	2.86
	2.41	2.99	2.97
	2.3	3.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.95)	2.95 ↓ (3.05)	2.92 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pacajus
38.5%

Draw
30.6%

Retrô Brasil
30.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.1%

30.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

29.8%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pacajus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pacajus's performance.

Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Retrô Brasil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pacajus than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pacajus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Retrô Brasil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pacajus - Retrô Brasil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Retrô could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pacajus EC
Brazilian Serie D
23.07.23	Campinense - Pacajus	3:2 ✺
15.07.23	Pacajus - Sousa	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Pacajus - Iguatu	4:1 ✺
02.07.23	Globo FC - Pacajus	0:2 ✺
27.06.23	Potiguar - Pacajus	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWWL
- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Serie D
23.07.23	Retrô Brasil - Falcon	1:2 ✺
16.07.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Retrô Brasil	2:1 ✺
08.07.23	Retrô Brasil - Bahia de Feira	1:0 ✺
01.07.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Retrô Brasil	1:2 ✺
28.06.23	Retrô Brasil - Jacuipense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWT

Pacajus - Retrô Brasil

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Pacajus - Retrô Brasil Predictions

Preview

Form

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