The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Retrô Brasil 35.3%
Draw 26.8%
Falcon 37.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.1%
24.8%
18%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.1%
25.7%
17.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Retrô Brasil's form might have worsened.
Falcon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Falcon's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+23.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Retrô Brasil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falcon than the current prediction. (-20.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Falcon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
0%
90.9%
Retrô Brasil - Falcon Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Retrô will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Falcon will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Falcon: 73.9% – 100%.
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Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
Recent matches Retrô is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Falcon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Falcon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Retrô will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Retrô won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.