Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 13

Date: 15 July 2023, Saturday


	Pacajus		Sousa

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.95	2.75
	2.5	2.8	2.85
	2.4	2.83	2.92
	2.35	2.88	2.8
	2.39	3.14	2.86
	2.45	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.64)	2.93 ↑ (2.79)	2.83 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pacajus
37.4%

Draw
30.7%

Sousa
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

32.1%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

33.6%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pacajus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pacajus than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Pacajus - Sousa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Recent matches Pacajus is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sousa is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pacajus won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pacajus EC
Brazilian Serie D
08.07.23	Pacajus - Iguatu	4:1 ✺
02.07.23	Globo FC - Pacajus	0:2 ✺
27.06.23	Potiguar - Pacajus	5:1 ✺
17.06.23	Pacajus - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
14.06.23	Nacional de Patos - Pacajus	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLTL
- Sousa
Brazilian Serie D
09.07.23	Sousa - Nacional de Patos	1:0 ✺
03.07.23	Campinense - Sousa	1:2 ✺
28.06.23	Sousa - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1 ✺
18.06.23	Sousa - Potiguar	1:1 ✺
15.06.23	Iguatu - Sousa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
14.05.23	Sousa - Pacajus	2:1

Pacajus - Sousa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide