Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 13

Date: 16 July 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Cruzeiro Arapiraca		Retrô Brasil

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.73
	4.5	3.5	1.7
	4.4	3.12	1.79
	4.2	3.1	1.75
	4.3	3.42	1.78
	4.5	3.4	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↓ (4.9)	3.32 ↓ (3.43)	1.75 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro Arapiraca
21%

Draw
27.2%

Retrô Brasil
51.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.5%

26.5%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

25.6%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro Arapiraca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro Arapiraca than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Retrô Brasil Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cruzeiro Arapiraca will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Retrô will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Cruzeiro Arapiraca is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Retrô is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cruzeiro Arapiraca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Retrô is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro Arapiraca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro Arapiraca
Brazilian Serie D
09.07.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:2 ✺
02.07.23	Falcon - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	4:1 ✺
27.06.23	Sergipe - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	2:1 ✺
18.06.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Jacuipense	1:0 ✺
14.06.23	Bahia de Feira - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL
- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Serie D
08.07.23	Retrô Brasil - Bahia de Feira	1:0 ✺
01.07.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Retrô Brasil	1:2 ✺
28.06.23	Retrô Brasil - Jacuipense	1:1 ✺
18.06.23	Retrô Brasil - Sergipe	1:1 ✺
14.06.23	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Retrô Brasil	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
13.05.23	Retrô Brasil - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	1:1

Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Retrô Brasil