Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 9

Date: 17 June 2023, Saturday


	Pacajus		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.9	2.8
	2.55	2.7	2.9
	2.43	2.68	3.13
	2.39	3.02	2.98
	2.4	2.95	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.13)	2.85 ↓ (5.5)	2.94 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pacajus
37.4%

Draw
31.8%

Santa Cruz Recife
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

16.2%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

15.5%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pacajus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Cruz Recife might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pacajus than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pacajus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz Recife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pacajus - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pacajus won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pacajus EC
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.23	Nacional de Patos - Pacajus	1:0 ✺
11.06.23	Pacajus - Nacional de Patos	1:0 ✺
08.06.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Pacajus	0:0 ✺
03.06.23	Pacajus - Potiguar	2:0 ✺
27.05.23	Pacajus - Globo FC	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWTWW
- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Globo FC	3:0 ✺
11.06.23	Globo FC - Santa Cruz Recife	0:2 ✺
08.06.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Pacajus	0:0 ✺
03.06.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Sousa	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	Nacional de Patos - Santa Cruz Recife	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
08.06.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Pacajus	0:0

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