Match Info

CANADA: Championship - Semi-finals

Date: 10 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Starlight Stadium (Langford, BC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	FuboTV, OneSoccer
Puerto-rico	Fox Sports 2
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com, FuboTV


	Pacific FC		Vancouver Whitecaps

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.5
	2.6	3.1	2.55
	2.56	3.2	2.45
	2.64	3.29	2.62	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.45
	2.36	3.24	2.67
	2.6	3.15	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (3.45)	3.15 ↓ (3.6)	2.55 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pacific FC
35.7%

Draw
28.8%

Vancouver Whitecaps
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

24.8%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

24.7%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pacific FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pacific FC's performance.

Vancouver Whitecaps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vancouver Whitecaps might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pacific FC than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pacific FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vancouver Whitecaps could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pacific FC - Vancouver Whitecaps Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gazdov E. (G) 13. Dada-Luke K. 5. Quintana J. 26. Meilleur-Gigeuere T. 3. Lajeunesse E. 8. Lamothe P. 20. Young S. 28. Toussaint C. 7. Yeates S. 11. Heard J. (C) 12. Moore R.	32. Boehmer I. (G) 2. Laborda M. 4. Veselinovic R. 15. Utvik B. 16. Berhalter S. 13. Priso-Mbongue R. 20. Cubas A. 8. Schopf A. 25. Gauld R. (C) 24. White B. 28. Johnson L.
Substitutes
4. Amedume P. 18. Bahous Z. 55. Melvin S. (G) 2. Mukumbilwa G. 21. Sellouf A. 88. Tircoveanu A. 9. Zanatta D.	59. Badwal J. 27. Bovalina G. 12. Halbouni B. 19. Kreilach D. 11. Picault F. 1. Takaoka Y. (G) 45. Vite P.
Coaches
Merriman J.	Sartini V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Utvik B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 0 - 1, Gauld R. ⚽, Laborda M. (A),
64', Schopf A. ↓, Bovalina G. ↑,
64', Priso-Mbongue R. ↓, Vite P. ↑,
67', Lamothe P. ↓, Sellouf A. ↑,
71', White B. 🟨,
72', Heard J. ↓, Mukumbilwa G. ↑,
75', Gauld R. ↓, Kreilach D. ↑,
80', Moore R. ↓, Zanatta D. ↑,
82', Toussaint C. 🟨,
88', Cubas A. ↓, Badwal J. ↑,
88', Johnson L. ↓, Halbouni B. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Vancouver could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pacific won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Pacific won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pacific FC
Canadian Premier League
07.07.24	Atlético Ottawa - Pacific FC	0:1 ✺
27.06.24	Pacific FC - Vancouver FC	1:2 ✺
19.06.24	Inter Toronto - Pacific FC	2:0 ✺
14.06.24	Valour - Pacific FC	2:3 ✺
08.06.24	HFX Wanderers - Pacific FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLWT
- Vancouver Whitecaps
MLS
06.07.24	CF Montréal - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:1 ✺
03.07.24	Minnesota United - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:3 ✺
29.06.24	Vancouver Whitecaps - St. Louis City	4:3 ✺
22.06.24	Portland Timbers - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	New England Revolution - Vancouver Whitecaps	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Canadian Championship
24.05.23	Pacific FC - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:3
26.08.21	Pacific FC - Vancouver Whitecaps	4:3

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