Match Info

Canadian Premier League

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Princess Auto Stadium (Winnipeg, MB)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	OneSoccer
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus


	Valour		Pacific FC

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.5
	1.9	3.4	3.45
	1.8	3.6	4.21
	1.80	3.51	4.36	Watch
	1.89	3.48	3.54	Watch
	2.19	3.22	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.22)	3.4 ↑ (3.25)	3.51 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valour
46.3%

Draw
27.3%

Pacific FC
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28.3%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

27.1%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Pacific FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valour than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valour that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pacific FC than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pacific FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Valour - Pacific FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Valour will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Pacific will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Valour (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Gazdov E. (G) 4. Konincks D. 11. Twardek K. 5. Egwu K. 2. Alarcon R. 23. Facchineri G. 21. Morgan M. 27. Ohin R. (C) 8. Ressurreicao D. 17. Faria J. 80. Froese K.	55. Melvin S. (G) 7. Chung K. 2. Mukumbilwa G. 33. Baldisimo M. 44. Ndom A. 66. Juhmi R. 6. Browning L. 64. Toualy Y. R. 99. Diaz A. 9. Zanatta D. 10. Bustos M. (C)
Substitutes
30. Antonoglou T. 28. Figueiredo B. 1. Himaras E. (G) 64. Mlah S. 9. Pop E. 3. Romeo R. 20. Venancio X.	50. Anchor M. (G) 8. Daniels A. 15. Greco-Taylor C. 11. Heard J. 34. Keshavarz S. 17. Montejano E.
Coaches
Dos Santos P.	Merriman J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Konincks D. ⚽, Ressurreicao D. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Diaz A. (Pen),
41', Froese K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Mukumbilwa G. ↓, Daniels A. ↑,
53', Juhmi R. ↓, Greco-Taylor C. ↑,
54', Zanatta D. 🟨,
55', Alarcon R. 🟨,
61', Froese K. ↓, Venancio X. ↑,
61', Ressurreicao D. ↓, Figueiredo B. ↑,
64', Toualy Y. R. ↓, Heard J. ↑,
77', Twardek K. ↓, Mlah S. ↑,
78', Zanatta D. ↓, Keshavarz S. ↑,
78', Morgan M. ↓, Pop E. ↑,
90+2', Mlah S. ↓, Antonoglou T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valour won 2.

Valour has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pacific's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pacific may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valour won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 20:36. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Valour won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valour FC
Canadian Premier League
22.08.25	HFX Wanderers - Valour	4:1 ✺
17.08.25	Valour - Inter Toronto	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Valour - Atlético Ottawa	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Forge - Valour	5:0 ✺
29.07.25	Valour - Cavalry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTLLW
- Pacific FC
Canadian Premier League
24.08.25	Inter Toronto - Pacific FC	5:1 ✺
16.08.25	Pacific FC - HFX Wanderers	2:2 ✺
10.08.25	Vancouver FC - Pacific FC	2:3 ✺
04.08.25	Pacific FC - Cavalry	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Pacific FC - Atlético Ottawa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Canadian Premier League
01.06.25	Valour - Pacific FC	0:0
05.04.25	Pacific FC - Valour	2:0
30.09.24	Valour - Pacific FC	1:0
28.07.24	Pacific FC - Valour	0:3
14.06.24	Valour - Pacific FC	2:3
19.04.24	Pacific FC - Valour	2:0
02.09.23	Pacific FC - Valour	2:1

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