The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portland Timbers 23.9%
Draw 22.6%
Vancouver Whitecaps 53.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.1%
23.8%
45%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.2%
23.9%
44.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portland Timbers's form might have worsened.
Vancouver Whitecaps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vancouver Whitecaps's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portland Timbers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vancouver Whitecaps, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
0%
90%
Portland Timbers - Vancouver Whitecaps Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Portland (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.75 - Vancouver (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Vancouver Whitecaps will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vancouver Whitecaps will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Portland (votes: 2 - 25%). Vancouver (votes: 6 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Pantemis J. (G) 5. Bye B. 20. Surman F. 4. Miller K. 23. Smith I. 73. Izoita E. 28. Aravena A. 80. Ortiz J. 99. Velde K. 19. Kelsy K. 11. Antony
1. Takaoka Y. (G) 18. Ocampo E. 33. Blackmon T. 6. Priso R. 28. Johnson T. 16. Berhalter S. 20. Cubas A. 59. Badwal J. 13. Muller T. 22. Jackson A. 24. White B.
Substitutes
88. Guerra G. 16. Jura S. 7. Lassiter A. 15. Miller E. 9. Mora F. 25. Muse T. (G) 94. Ondo C.
32. Boehmer I. (G) 17. Cabrera Nakamura K. G. 41. Djordjevic N. 19. Elloumi R. 29. Gherasimencov M. 2. Laborda M. 8. Larraz O. 26. Ngando J. 11. Sabbi E.
Coaches
Neville P.
Sorensen J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Kelsy K. 🟨,
17', Ocampo E. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, White B. ⚽, Berhalter S. (A), Ocampo E. (A2)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 0 - 2, Blackmon T. ⚽,
54', Kelsy K. ↓, Guerra G. ↑,
55', Badwal J. ↓, Sabbi E. ↑,
59', Velde K. 🟨,
62', Aravena A. ↓, Lassiter A. ↑,
63', 0 - 3, Berhalter S. ⚽, Jackson A. (A), Cubas A. (A2)
67', Smith I. 🟨,
69', Cubas A. ↓, Larraz O. ↑,
69', Jackson A. ↓, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ↑,
69', Ocampo E. ↓, Laborda M. ↑,
72', 1 - 3, Izoita E. ⚽, Ortiz J. (A),
76', Blackmon T. 🟨,
80', Bye B. ↓, Mora F. ↑,
83', Larraz O. 🟨,
87', 1 - 4, White B. ⚽,
90+3', Johnson T. ↓, Gherasimencov M. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1.
In recent matches, Portland has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Vancouver is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Vancouver may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Vancouver has had a series of home games.
Vancouver could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Portland: Da Costa D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Fernandez O.
(Foot Injury)
Fory J.
(Red Card)
McGraw Z.
(Back Injury)
Mosquera J.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Vancouver: Adekugbe S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Gauld R.
(Knee Injury)
Halbouni B.
(Knee Injury)
Schonlau S.
(Calf Injury)
Veselinovic R.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Vancouver: Cabrera Nakamura K. G.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.9:1.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Vancouver Whitecaps - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 45.05%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.