Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 3

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn)

Referee: Weisbach E. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Paderborn		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.1	4.5	Watch
	1.8	3.9	4
	1.72	3.8	4.15	Watch
	1.7	4.3	4.93
	1.81	3.88	4.06	Watch
	1.75	3.75	4	Watch
	1.76	4	4.27	Watch
	1.85	3.85	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.81)	3.95 ↑ (3.88)	4.24 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paderborn
53.8%

Draw
23.9%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

24.4%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	16.7%	5.6%

Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Fortuna will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 58.6% – 97%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Fortuna (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Paderborn (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paderborn will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Fortuna (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Seimen D. (G) 33. Hoffmeier M. 25. Scheller T. 4. Brackelmann C. 17. Curda L. 6. Engelns L. 5. Castaneda S. 23. Obermair R. 7. Bilbija F. 39. Grimaldi A. 14. Baur M.	33. Kastenmeier F. (G) 12. Fridriksson V. 15. Oberdorf T. 44. Egouli E. 4. Schmidt K. 24. Muslija F. 23. Appelkamp S. 8. El Azzouzi A. 14. Alexandropoulos S. 21. Rossmann T. 13. Itten C.
Substitutes
9. Batzner N. 28. Copado L. 22. Hansen M. 26. Klaas S. 30. Marino S. 11. Michel S. 1. Schubert M. (G) 18. Worner M. 32. Yalcin K.	30. de Wijs J. 6. Haag G. 11. Hettwer J. 5. Heyer M. 3. Lenz C. 1. Lotka M. (G) 10. Rasmussen C. 22. Schmidt D. 25. Zimmermann M.
Coaches
Kettemann R.	Thioune D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', Scheller T. 🟥,
31', Alexandropoulos S. 🟨,
34', Itten C. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Itten C. ⚽, Fridriksson V. (A),
38', Castaneda S. 🟨,
42', 0 - 2, Muslija F. ⚽, Appelkamp S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alexandropoulos S. ↓, Heyer M. ↑,
46', Castaneda S. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
57', Engelns L. 🟨,
60', Engelns L. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
74', Grimaldi A. ↓, Marino S. ↑,
75', Schmidt K. ↓, Lenz C. ↑,
75', Rossmann T. ↓, Rasmussen C. ↑,
80', Baur M. ↓, Copado L. ↑,
80', Bilbija F. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Batzner N. ⚽, Marino S. (A),
90+2', Appelkamp S. ↓, Haag G. ↑,
90+4', Muslija F. ↓, Hettwer J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 3.

Paderborn is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Fortuna has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fortuna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Paderborn is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A. (Muscle Injury) Kinsombi D. (Thigh Injury) Michel S. (Injury) Muller R. (Muscle Injury) Vega Zambrano J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Fortuna: Anhari H. (Injury) Iyoha E. (Calf Injury) Manu K. S. (Muscle Injury) Raimund L. (Injury) Schock F. (Tendon Injury)

We predict that Paderborn will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:23. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.9:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Paderborn 07
German DFB Pokal
17.08.25	Viktoria Köln - Paderborn	1:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
08.08.25	Preußen Münster - Paderborn	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Paderborn - Holstein Kiel	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Hannover - Paderborn	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Hannover - Paderborn	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTWTW
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German DFB Pokal
18.08.25	Schweinfurt - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:4 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
09.08.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hannover	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Fortuna Düsseldorf	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Alemannia Aachen - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:4 ✺
22.07.25	Velbert - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
13.04.25	Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2
09.11.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Paderborn	1:1
04.02.24	Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf	4:3
19.08.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Paderborn	1:2
03.02.23	Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf	4:1
22.07.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Paderborn	2:1
12.03.22	Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1

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