Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 6

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Euganeo (Padova)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio


	Padova		Virtus Verona

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.75	8
	1.3	4.75	10
	1.31	4.62	10.07
	1.35	4.48	10.05	Watch
	1.25	4.6	10
	1.29	4.6	9.4	Watch
	1.3	4.75	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.44)	4.65 ↑ (3.93)	9.65 ↑ (6.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
70.7%

Draw
19.8%

Virtus Verona
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

23.2%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

21%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Padova's performance.

Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Padova - Virtus Verona Predictions

Users Predictions: Padova will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fortin M. (G) 72. Faedo C. 2. Delli Carri F. 5. Perrotta M. 17. Capelli A. 8. Fusi P. 15. Bianchi N. (C) 14. Villa L. 21. Liguori M. 19. Valente N. 20. Bortolussi M.	22. Sibi S. (G) 2. Catena E. M. 23. Toffanin F. 37. Calabrese N. 6. Daffara M. 32. Rispoli F. 8. Metlika A. 5. Mehic D. 95. Munaretti L. 21. Gomez J. 14. De Marchi M.
Substitutes
99. Beccaro A. 4. Belli F. 29. Broh J. 22. Carniello M. (G) 13. Crescenzi L. 11. Cretella C. 6. Crisetig L. 30. Favale G. 23. Granata A. 26. Kirwan N. 37. Montrone A. 9. Spagnoli A. 7. Varas K. 12. Voltan M. (G)	55. Alfonso E. (G) 75. Cielo T. 9. Contini G. 47. Cuel E. 25. Filippi N. 85. Fiori N. 12. Fortin G. (G) 30. Gatti C. 18. Ojeh P. 17. Oni S. 3. Rigo M. 34. Ronco D. 27. Trovo R. 10. Zarpellon L. 1. Zecchin A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Mehic D. ⚽,
16', Calabrese N. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Rispoli F. ↓, Zarpellon L. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Villa L. ⚽,
51', Faedo C. 🟨,
53', Mehic D. 🟨,
57', 2 - 1, Bianchi N. ⚽,
58', Bortolussi M. ↓, Spagnoli A. ↑,
58', Valente N. ↓, Varas K. ↑,
66', 3 - 1, Spagnoli A. (Pen),
67', Gomez J. ↓, Contini G. ↑,
67', Faedo C. ↓, Belli F. ↑,
67', Bianchi N. ↓, Crisetig L. ↑,
69', Daffara M. 🟨,
76', Mehic D. ↓, Cuel E. ↑,
76', Munaretti L. ↓, Rigo M. ↑,
76', Metlika A. ↓, Gatti C. ↑,
78', Villa L. ↓, Broh J. ↑,
90+1', Gatti C. 🟨,
90+7', 4 - 1, Liguori M. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Padova won 1.

Padova in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Virtus Verona is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Padova is absolute favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Padova won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Padova won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
20.09.24	Pro Vercelli - Padova	1:3 ✺
14.09.24	Padova - Alcione	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Padova	1:4 ✺
01.09.24	Caldiero Terme - Padova	0:2 ✺
26.08.24	Padova - Trento	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW
- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group A
20.09.24	Virtus Verona - Renate	1:2 ✺
13.09.24	FeralpiSalò - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Virtus Verona - Novara	1:0 ✺
30.08.24	Alcione - Virtus Verona	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Virtus Verona - Lumezzane	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
04.02.24	Virtus Verona - Padova	1:1
24.09.23	Padova - Virtus Verona	2:0
14.05.23	Padova - Virtus Verona	0:1
11.02.23	Virtus Verona - Padova	1:1
16.10.22	Padova - Virtus Verona	0:0
24.04.22	Padova - Virtus Verona	1:2
18.12.21	Virtus Verona - Padova	0:0

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