Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 9

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola (Gorgonzola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 251


	Giana Erminio		Padova

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.1	1.77
	4.5	3.3	1.8
	4.58	3.23	1.86
	4.18	3.19	1.95	Watch
	4.4	3.2	1.75
	4.59	3.14	1.78	Watch
	4.5	3.3	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↓ (4.77)	3.21 ↓ (3.22)	1.82 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
20.8%

Draw
28.6%

Padova
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

28.3%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

28.2%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Giana Erminio - Padova Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Giana Erminio will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Padova will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mangiapoco S. (G) 6. Ferri L. 47. Scaringi M. 27. Alborghetti M. 23. Caferri L. 14. Marotta M. 7. Pinto D. 26. Previtali N. 21. Pala A. 10. Lamesta A. 19. Stuckler D.	1. Fortin M. (G) 4. Belli F. 2. Delli Carri F. 5. Perrotta M. 17. Capelli A. 8. Fusi P. 6. Crisetig L. 14. Villa L. 58. Cretella C. 19. Valente N. 20. Bortolussi M.
Substitutes
17. Avinci G. 15. Ballabio M. 12. Buzzi G. (G) 18. De Maria V. 20. Muzio C. 77. Piazza A. 1. Pirola C. (G) 24. Pirotta D. 99. Renda F. 11. Spaviero T.	99. Beccaro A. 29. Broh J. 22. Carniello M. (G) 13. Crescenzi L. 30. Favale G. 23. Granata A. 26. Kirwan N. 21. Liguori M. 37. Montrone A. 10. Russini S. 9. Spagnoli A. 7. Varas K. 12. Voltan M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Delli Carri F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Bortolussi M. 🟨,
57', Delli Carri F. 🟨,
59', Valente N. ↓, Liguori M. ↑,
59', Cretella C. ↓, Varas K. ↑,
63', Fusi P. 🟨,
68', Alborghetti M. ↓, De Maria V. ↑,
73', Fusi P. ↓, Kirwan N. ↑,
73', Pinto D. ↓, Ballabio M. ↑,
73', Pala A. ↓, Renda F. ↑,
79', Crisetig L. 🟨,
82', Ferri L. ↓, Avinci G. ↑,
82', Marotta M. ↓, Spaviero T. ↑,
84', Capelli A. ↓, Broh J. ↑,
86', Scaringi M. 🟨,
90', Ballabio M. 🟨,
90+1', Renda F. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Giana Erminio won 1.

Recent matches Giana Erminio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Padova is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Padova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Padova is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Giana Erminio won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:10 (average 1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Giana Erminio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
04.10.24	Atalanta U23 - Giana Erminio	1:3 ✺
29.09.24	Giana Erminio - Union Clodiense	2:1 ✺
25.09.24	FeralpiSalò - Giana Erminio	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Giana Erminio - AlbinoLeffe	0:2 ✺
13.09.24	Renate - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLLL
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
06.10.24	Padova - Vicenza Virtus	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Pro Patria - Padova	1:1 ✺
24.09.24	Padova - Virtus Verona	4:1 ✺
20.09.24	Pro Vercelli - Padova	1:3 ✺
14.09.24	Padova - Alcione	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
10.03.24	Giana Erminio - Padova	2:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
07.11.23	Padova - Giana Erminio	3:0
Italian Serie C Group A
04.11.23	Padova - Giana Erminio	3:1
10.04.22	Padova - Giana Erminio	1:0
05.12.21	Giana Erminio - Padova	1:1
24.04.16	Padova - Giana Erminio	0:2
12.12.15	Giana Erminio - Padova	1:2

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