Match Info

Carioca B2 - Round 9

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Paduano		Belford Roxo

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	2.95
	2.2	2.94	3.35	Watch
	2.07	3.3	2.95
	2.04	3.2	3.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.23)	3.19 ↓ (3.51)	3.13 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paduano
43%

Draw
28.2%

Belford Roxo
28.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

26.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paduano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Belford Roxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Paduano - Belford Roxo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 2 - 1, ⚽,
54', 2 - 2, ⚽,
75', 3 - 2, ⚽,
81', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Carioca B2 Playoffs - Semi - finals and 6th).

Performances by Belford Roxo have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Paduano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Belford Roxo has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Paduano is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Paduano has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Specifically in home fixtures for Paduano against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Belford Roxo	10	4	5	1	21:11	10	17
7	Paduano EC	10	4	3	3	17:11	6	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paduano EC
Brazilian Carioca B2
06.10.26	Friburguense - Paduano	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Paraty - Paduano	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Paduano - Barra Mansa	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Serra Macaense - Paduano	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Carioca B1
08.11.25	Niteroiense - Paduano	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWTWL
- Belford Roxo FC
Brazilian Carioca B2
11.10.26	Belford Roxo - Serra Macaense	1:1 ✺
06.10.26	7 de Abril - Belford Roxo	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Belford Roxo - Santa Cruz RJ	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Belford Roxo - Cardoso Moreira	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Belford Roxo - Rio de Janeiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca B1
12.10.24	Paduano - Belford Roxo	2:1

Paduano - Belford Roxo