Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 31

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Portici		Casertana

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.73
	3.9	3.5	1.75
	4.1	3.44	1.73
	4.2	3.4	1.73
	4.45	3.58	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (4.03)	3.46 ↑ (3.45)	1.73 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portici
21.8%

Draw
26.1%

Casertana
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

26.1%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

25.6%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portici has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portici than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Portici - Casertana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )).

Portici is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Casertana is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Portici could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Casertana is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Portici won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portici 1906
Italian Serie D - Group G
06.04.23	Pomezia - Portici	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	Portici - Arzachena	1:2 ✺
18.03.23	Real Monterotondo - Portici	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Portici - Tivoli Calcio	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Cassino - Portici	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTLL
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie D - Group G
06.04.23	Casertana - Sorrento	3:0 ✺
01.04.23	Atletico Uri - Casertana	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Arzachena - Casertana	0:1 ✺
12.03.23	Casertana - Vis Artena	3:0 ✺
05.03.23	Tivoli Calcio - Casertana	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
04.12.22	Casertana - Portici	1:0

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