Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 33

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday


	Aprilia		Casertana

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.77
	3.89	3.43	1.78
	4.2	3.54	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.69)	3.46 ↑ (3.36)	1.77 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aprilia
22.8%

Draw
26.2%

Casertana
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

26.1%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

26.9%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aprilia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aprilia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )).

Aprilia has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Casertana is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Casertana is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aprilia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Aprilia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aprilia
Italian Serie D - Group G
23.04.23	Pomezia - Aprilia	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Aprilia - Arzachena	1:3 ✺
06.04.23	Real Monterotondo - Aprilia	2:2 ✺
02.04.23	Aprilia - Tivoli Calcio	1:2 ✺
19.03.23	Cassino - Aprilia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTLL
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie D - Group G
23.04.23	Casertana - Angri	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	Portici - Casertana	3:2 ✺
06.04.23	Casertana - Sorrento	3:0 ✺
01.04.23	Atletico Uri - Casertana	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Arzachena - Casertana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
18.12.22	Casertana - Aprilia	3:4
Italian Lega Pro C2/B
02.03.14	Aprilia - Casertana	2:1
27.10.13	Casertana - Aprilia	4:1

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