Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 34

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday


	Casertana		Palmese 1914

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	2.8
	2.4	3.6	2.4
	2.35	3.42	2.31
	2.26	3.44	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.88)	3.44 ↓ (3.6)	2.59 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casertana
39.2%

Draw
26.1%

Palmese 1914
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

25%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

24.2%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casertana's form might have worsened.

Palmese 1914 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palmese 1914's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casertana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmese 1914 than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palmese 1914, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Casertana - Palmese 1914 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )).

Casertana is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Palmese 1914 is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Casertana will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Casertana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie D - Group G
30.04.23	Aprilia - Casertana	4:1 ✺
23.04.23	Casertana - Angri	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	Portici - Casertana	3:2 ✺
06.04.23	Casertana - Sorrento	3:0 ✺
01.04.23	Atletico Uri - Casertana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- Palmese 1914
Italian Serie D - Group G
30.04.23	Palmese 1914 - Atletico Uri	5:1 ✺
23.04.23	Arzachena - Palmese 1914	3:0 ✺
16.04.23	Palmese 1914 - Vis Artena	1:1 ✺
06.04.23	Tivoli Calcio - Palmese 1914	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Palmese 1914 - Pomezia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
21.12.22	Palmese 1914 - Casertana	2:1

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