Match Info

Date: 27 March 2022, Sunday


	Paganese		Palermo

	1	X	2
	4	3.1	1.85	Watch
	4.3	3.2	1.75
	4	3	1.83
	4.08	3.05	1.81
	4.2	3.3	1.8
	4.3	3.42	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (3.45)	3.18 ↑ (3)	1.81 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paganese
21.7%

Draw
28.4%

Palermo
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

28.9%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

28.4%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paganese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Paganese - Palermo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Paganese is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Palermo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paganese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Palermo is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Paganese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Paganese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
23.03.22	Potenza - Paganese	1:1 ✺
20.03.22	Fidelis Andria - Paganese	1:0 ✺
16.03.22	Paganese - Foggia	1:4 ✺
13.03.22	Virtus Francavilla - Paganese	3:3 ✺
05.03.22	Paganese - Avellino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLLTL
- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie C Group C
20.03.22	Potenza - Palermo	2:2 ✺
16.03.22	Palermo - Fidelis Andria	1:1 ✺
13.03.22	Avellino - Palermo	1:2 ✺
05.03.22	Palermo - Vibonese	3:0 ✺
26.02.22	Virtus Francavilla - Palermo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
20.11.21	Palermo - Paganese	3:0
13.03.21	Paganese - Palermo	0:1
15.11.20	Palermo - Paganese	2:1

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