Match Info

Date: 5 March 2022, Saturday


	Paganese		Avellino

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.8	2.25
	3.1	3	2.2
	3.2	2.85	2.16
	3.77	2.75	2.23
	3.3	2.9	2.15
	3.24	3.15	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (3.1)	2.91 ↓ (3.2)	2.2 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paganese
27.6%

Draw
31.2%

Avellino
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

28.9%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

19.2%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paganese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paganese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avellino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Paganese - Avellino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paganese won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Avellino will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Paganese won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Paganese won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
22.02.22	Catania - Paganese	0:1 ✺
19.02.22	Paganese - Nuova Monterosi	0:3 ✺
15.02.22	Catanzaro - Paganese	1:0 ✺
12.02.22	Paganese - Campobasso	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Vibonese - Paganese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLLWT
- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
22.02.22	Latina - Avellino	0:0 ✺
19.02.22	Avellino - Fidelis Andria	2:0 ✺
15.02.22	Virtus Francavilla - Avellino	1:0 ✺
12.02.22	Avellino - Nuova Monterosi	2:0 ✺
06.02.22	Catanzaro - Avellino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
24.10.21	Avellino - Paganese	3:0
07.03.21	Avellino - Paganese	2:0
11.11.20	Paganese - Avellino	1:1
26.02.20	Avellino - Paganese	1:0
13.10.19	Paganese - Avellino	3:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.08.19	Paganese - Avellino	2:2
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
21.01.13	Paganese - Avellino	4:1

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