Match Info

Date: 23 March 2022, Wednesday


	Potenza		Paganese

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.95	3.8	Watch
	2.05	3.05	3.4
	1.95	2.9	3.75
	1.92	3.1	4.25
	2.15	3.2	3
	1.95	2.96	4.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.22)	3.03 ↓ (3.13)	3.76 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Potenza
45.7%

Draw
30.1%

Paganese
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

28.8%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

21.5%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Potenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Potenza's performance.

Paganese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paganese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Potenza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paganese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	40%	10%

Potenza - Paganese Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Potenza will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Paganese will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Potenza: 28.1% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out) and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Potenza won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Potenza will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Potenza won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Potenza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group C
20.03.22	Potenza - Palermo	2:2 ✺
16.03.22	Picerno - Potenza	0:1 ✺
13.03.22	Potenza - Taranto	1:1 ✺
05.03.22	Latina - Potenza	0:3 ✺
22.02.22	Potenza - Catanzaro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 TWTWT
- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
20.03.22	Fidelis Andria - Paganese	1:0 ✺
16.03.22	Paganese - Foggia	1:4 ✺
13.03.22	Virtus Francavilla - Paganese	3:3 ✺
05.03.22	Paganese - Avellino	0:2 ✺
22.02.22	Catania - Paganese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
20.10.21	Paganese - Potenza	2:0
25.04.21	Paganese - Potenza	0:0
10.01.21	Potenza - Paganese	1:0
15.12.19	Potenza - Paganese	1:0
03.02.19	Paganese - Potenza	3:4
06.10.18	Potenza - Paganese	1:1

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