Match Info

Date: 16 April 2022, Saturday


	Paganese		Picerno

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.95	2.65
	2.32	3	2.88
	2.41	2.85	2.7
	2.51	3.07	2.83
	2.45	2.88	2.8
	2.48	3.08	2.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.43)	2.97 ↑ (2.75)	2.78 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paganese
37%

Draw
30.5%

Picerno
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

31.4%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

32%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Picerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Paganese - Picerno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out) and 11).

Paganese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Picerno is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Paganese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
10.04.22	Juve Stabia - Paganese	4:0 ✺
02.04.22	Paganese - Monopoli	0:1 ✺
27.03.22	Paganese - Palermo	2:2 ✺
23.03.22	Potenza - Paganese	1:1 ✺
20.03.22	Fidelis Andria - Paganese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTTL
- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
10.04.22	Picerno - Fidelis Andria	3:0 ✺
03.04.22	Palermo - Picerno	4:0 ✺
30.03.22	Picerno - Campobasso	3:2 ✺
27.03.22	Picerno - Avellino	0:1 ✺
20.03.22	Virtus Francavilla - Picerno	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
11.12.21	Picerno - Paganese	5:3
27.10.19	Picerno - Paganese	2:0

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