The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paganese 27.5%
Draw 31.6%
Monopoli 40.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
29.2%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
30.3%
37.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paganese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Monopoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paganese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Paganese - Monopoli Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).
Monopoli is Qualified for Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Paganese won 0.
Paganese is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Monopoli in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Monopoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Paganese won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Paganese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-10.