Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 25

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Paide linnastaadion (Paide)


	Paide U21		Nõmme United U21

	1	X	2
	2.5	4	2.15
	1.75	4.65	3.1
	1.52	5.07	3.82
	1.51	4.5	4.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.95)	4.56 ↑ (3.75)	3.36 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paide U21
51.5%

Draw
20.6%

Nõmme United U21
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

24%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

23%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paide U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paide U21's performance.

Nõmme United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nõmme United U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paide U21 than the current prediction. (-19.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paide U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme United U21 than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nõmme United U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paide U21 - Nõmme United U21 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Paide U21 (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Nõmme United U21 (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Paide U21 (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Paide U21 (votes: 3 - 75%). Nõmme United U21 (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
70. Isakar R. (G) 7. Corr P. 25. Gueye M. 37. Kanne K. 32. Kiik K. 88. Kool R. 49. Lehtmaa H. 24. Nigula R. 11. Reinkort S. 46. Reivik K. (C) 22. Soo S.	71. Purg G. (G) 25. Kabal G. (C) 7. Kais J. 45. Leppik R. 88. Manniste M. 23. Marmei M. 80. Molder K. 79. Ossep L. 42. Palu R. 32. Piht K. 26. Tomingas K.
Substitutes
30. Badamosi A. 33. Kaarmann K. (G) 71. Kallas K. 39. Murulaid R. 66. Rak C. 72. Roos R. 6. Tumasevski E.	77. Kranberg R. 91. Ortega R. (G) 18. Saarnak J. 19. Tiigiste R. 36. Veske S. 29. Viiroja U. 17. Zilmer K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 🟨,
66', 1 - 1, Tomingas K. ⚽,

Preview

Paide U21 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nõmme United U21 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nõmme United U21 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paide U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 1:4.5).

Including home match between the teams, Paide U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paide U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
17.08.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Paide U21	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Paide U21	3:2 ✺
04.08.25	Paide U21 - Läänemaa Haapsalu	6:1 ✺
19.07.25	Tartu Kalev - Paide U21	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	Paide U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL
- Nõmme United U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
18.08.25	Nõmme United U21 - Läänemaa Haapsalu	4:2 ✺
10.08.25	Nõmme United U21 - Kuressaare U21	0:3 ✺
04.08.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Nõmme United U21	3:2 ✺
26.07.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tartu Kalev	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Narva Trans U21 - Nõmme United U21	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
12.05.25	Nõmme United U21 - Paide U21	3:2
29.03.25	Paide U21 - Nõmme United U21	0:6

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