Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 20

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Narva Kalev-Fama staadion (Narva)


	Narva Trans U21		Nõmme United U21

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.8	3.6
	1.7	3.95	3.65
	1.71	4.17	3.73	Watch
	1.77	4.05	3.74
	1.69	3.92	3.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.84)	3.98 ↑ (3.8)	3.74 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Narva Trans U21
52.9%

Draw
22.8%

Nõmme United U21
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

23.8%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

23.4%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Narva Trans U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Nõmme United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Narva Trans U21 than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme United U21 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Narva Trans U21 - Nõmme United U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zahharov M. (G) 2. Shantenkov V. 16. Kondrattsev S. 66. Petkus E. 42. Kaurson S. 39. Ivanov J. 44. Geveller D. 37. Besigirskis A. 23. Jegorov A. (C) 29. Kudriashov V. 47. Baljabkin N.	91. Ortega R. (G) 88. Manniste M. 25. Kabal G. (C) 58. Medvedev A. 23. Marmei M. 12. MIhelson S. 17. Zilmer K. 42. Palu R. 45. Leppik R. 77. Tomingas K. 16. Gusarov A.
Substitutes
55. Jerjomin J. 45. Mihhailov D. 31. Rebrik I. (G) 3. Sibul D. 20. Stepanov M. 58. Torchakov V. 38. Zubkov T.	15. Poolak J. 84. Rei H. 46. Ruus K. (G) 18. Saarnak J. 36. Veske S. 29. Viiroja U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Zilmer K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 🟨,
74', 0 - 2, Gusarov A. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Narva U21 is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Narva U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Narva U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Narva Trans U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
13.07.25	Kuressaare U21 - Narva Trans U21	0:3 ✺
06.07.25	Narva Trans U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	3:4 ✺
29.06.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Narva Trans U21	0:4 ✺
21.06.25	Nõmme United U21 - Narva Trans U21	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Narva Trans U21 - Paide U21	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLW
- Nõmme United U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
13.07.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Nõmme United U21	3:2 ✺
05.07.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tabasalu	5:2 ✺
30.06.25	Kuressaare U21 - Nõmme United U21	1:4 ✺
21.06.25	Nõmme United U21 - Narva Trans U21	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
21.06.25	Nõmme United U21 - Narva Trans U21	1:0
07.03.25	Narva Trans U21 - Nõmme United U21	3:0

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