Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 21

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Männiku Stadium (Tallinn)


	Nõmme United U21		Tartu Kalev

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.9	2.6
	2.18	4.05	2.45
	2.17	4.45	2.45	Watch
	2.18	4.15	2.44
	2.22	3.5	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.25)	4.01 ↑ (3.5)	2.5 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nõmme United U21
41.6%

Draw
22.4%

Tartu Kalev
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

25.6%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

24.5%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nõmme United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Tartu Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme United U21 than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tartu Kalev than the current prediction. (-3%)

Nõmme United U21 - Tartu Kalev Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nõmme United U21 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Purg G. (G) 88. Manniste M. 25. Kabal G. (C) 58. Medvedev A. 32. Piht K. 17. Zilmer K. 19. Tiigiste R. 66. Palu R. 7. Leppik R. 77. Tomingas K. 59. Gusarov A.	24. Peramets K. (G) 99. Varusk A. 27. Neltsas R. 23. Ruul A. 7. Vilt K. 6. Bazjukin N. 17. Raud G. H. 77. Tenno S. (C) 21. Kohv K. 8. Mihhalevski R. 20. Kruusla G.
Substitutes
51. Jorro A. 50. Kranberg R. 10. Krasnov I. 27. Lumi L. 91. Ortega R. (G) 36. Veske S. 29. Viiroja U.	30. Alajoe M. 13. Daum M. (G) 11. Juhanson R. 66. Mangel M. 9. Reinberg K. 80. Samulin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Mihhalevski R. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 🟨,
53', 🟨,
73', 0 - 2, ⚽,
77', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Nõmme United U21 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tartu Kalev has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United U21 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Nõmme United U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nõmme United U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
19.07.25	Narva Trans U21 - Nõmme United U21	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Nõmme United U21	3:2 ✺
05.07.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tabasalu	5:2 ✺
30.06.25	Kuressaare U21 - Nõmme United U21	1:4 ✺
21.06.25	Nõmme United U21 - Narva Trans U21	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWWW
- Tartu Kalev
Estonian Esiliiga B
19.07.25	Tartu Kalev - Paide U21	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Tartu Kalev	0:7 ✺
05.07.25	Tartu Kalev - Tallinna JK Legion	0:1 ✺
19.06.25	Tabasalu - Tartu Kalev	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Tartu Kalev - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
17.05.25	Tartu Kalev - Nõmme United U21	1:2
16.03.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tartu Kalev	3:0

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