Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 20

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Ulenurme stadium (Ulenurme)


	Tartu Kalev		Paide U21

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.75	6.75
	1.13	7.5	11
	1.14	6.89	10.62
	1.17	7.3	9.05
	1.39	5	5.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.51)	6.49 ↑ (4.43)	8.61 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tartu Kalev
75.2%

Draw
14.1%

Paide U21
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

20.4%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

21.3%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tartu Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tartu Kalev's performance.

Paide U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paide U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tartu Kalev than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tartu Kalev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide U21 than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paide U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tartu Kalev - Paide U21 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Tartu Kalev (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tartu Kalev (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Peramets K. (G) 5. Laas K. 3. Toomsalu A. 27. Neltsas R. 66. Mangel M. 77. Tenno S. (C) 10. Kaasik K. 21. Kohv K. 8. Mihhalevski R. 6. Bazjukin N. 20. Kruusla G.	70. Isakar R. (G) 26. Luts R. 88. Kool R. 46. Reivik K. (C) 37. Kanne K. 57. Vassilenko K. 41. Ounpuu R. 22. Soo S. 71. Kallas K. 72. Roos R. 49. Lehtmaa H.
Substitutes
30. Alajoe M. 13. Daum M. (G) 11. Juhanson R. 47. Lille J. 17. Raud G. H. 9. Reinberg K. 69. Samulin R. 7. Vilt K.	86. Aasma S. 33. Kaarmann K. (G) 39. Murulaid R. 66. Rak C. 8. Randalainen R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Mihhalevski R. ⚽,
51', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

Tartu Kalev has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Paide U21 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Paide U21 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Tartu Kalev is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tartu Kalev won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 4:1).

Including home match between the teams, Tartu Kalev won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tartu Kalev
Estonian Esiliiga B
12.07.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Tartu Kalev	0:7 ✺
05.07.25	Tartu Kalev - Tallinna JK Legion	0:1 ✺
19.06.25	Tabasalu - Tartu Kalev	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Tartu Kalev - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:1 ✺
Estonian Cup
11.06.25	Tartu Kalev - Elva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL
- Paide U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
12.07.25	Paide U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:3 ✺
07.07.25	Paide U21 - Kuressaare U21	4:0 ✺
02.07.25	Paide U21 - Tabasalu	0:2 ✺
29.06.25	Paide U21 - Läänemaa Haapsalu	3:0 ✺
19.06.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Paide U21	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
01.06.25	Paide U21 - Tartu Kalev	2:3
13.04.25	Tartu Kalev - Paide U21	5:0

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